This page is loading and it needs JavaScript. The written page below is served without it.
Over 23 logged MLB games, Aaron Civale has gone over 2.5 strikeouts 8 times (35%), and over their last 10 they have done it twice (20%). They average 2.2 strikeouts across those 23 games. Their last 5 average 0.4, 82% below their 2.2 across the full log. They have gone under 2.5 in each of their last 6. These are measured box-score results from Chicago Cubs games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.
| Line | All 23 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 strikeouts | 18 of 23 (78%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 1.5 strikeouts | 16 of 23 (70%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 2.5 strikeouts | 8 of 23 (35%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 3.5 strikeouts | 5 of 23 (22%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 4.5 strikeouts | 2 of 23 (9%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Aaron Civale right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Aaron Civale has averaged 0.4 strikeouts over their last 5, 82% below their 2.2 across all 23 logged games.
Aaron Civale's strikeouts swings widely: a standard deviation of 1.6 on a 2.2 average. A wide spread means the average describes the middle of a broad range rather than a typical night.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0.4 strikeouts |
| Last 10 games | 1.5 strikeouts |
| All 23 logged games | 2.2 strikeouts |
| Best in the log | 6 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (11 games) | 2.3 strikeouts |
| Away (12 games) | 2.1 strikeouts |
Aaron Civale's highest in this log is 6 strikeouts against the Miami Marlins on 2026-07-04, and the lowest is 0 against the San Diego Padres on 2026-09-29. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 2.5 strikeouts |
|---|---|
| At home | 3 of 11 (27%) |
| On the road | 5 of 12 (42%) |
Aaron Civale has cleared 2.5 strikeouts 15 points more often on the road, 27% in 11 home games against 42% in 12 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | San Diego Padres | Away | 0 |
| 2026-09-25 | Boston Red Sox | Away | 0 |
| 2026-09-22 | Miami Marlins | Home | 2 |
| 2026-09-19 | Cincinnati Reds | Away | 0 |
| 2026-09-16 | Atlanta Braves | Home | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates | Home | 2 |
| 2026-09-08 | Milwaukee Brewers | Away | 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Miami Marlins | Away | 3 |
| 2026-08-30 | Cincinnati Reds | Home | 2 |
| 2026-08-28 | Cincinnati Reds | Home | 2 |
Aaron Civale of the Chicago Cubs in strikeouts, measured from official MLB box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. No line or price is printed on this page; when the board carries one, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official MLB box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
You must be 21+ (or older, where your jurisdiction sets a higher age) to bet. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
None is printed on this page, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All Aaron Civale props and hit rates
How MLB prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.