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Over 33 logged MLB games, Aroldis Chapman has gone over 0.5 hits allowed 16 times (48%), and over their last 10 they have done it 3 times (30%). They average 0.7 hits allowed across those 33 games. Their last 5 average 0.2, 71% below their 0.7 across the full log. They have gone under 0.5 in each of their last 4. These are measured box-score results from Boston Red Sox games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikeouts | 33 | 1.4 strikeouts | Over 1.5 | 16 of 33 (48%) |
| Hits Allowed | 33 | 0.7 hits allowed | Over 0.5 | 16 of 33 (48%) |
Every market Aroldis Chapman is currently priced in, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Strikeouts | Hits Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | New York Yankees | Away | 3 | 0 |
| 2026-09-23 | Cleveland Guardians | Home | 3 | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Kansas City Royals | Home | 3 | 0 |
| 2026-09-12 | Kansas City Royals | Home | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-06 | Baltimore Orioles | Away | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | Baltimore Orioles | Away | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Baltimore Orioles | Away | 2 | 2 |
| 2026-08-31 | Seattle Mariners | Home | 2 | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Miami Marlins | Away | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | San Francisco Giants | Home | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | San Francisco Giants | Home | 3 | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Arizona Diamondbacks | Home | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates | Away | 2 | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Athletics | Home | 0 | 2 |
| 2026-08-06 | Chicago White Sox | Home | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers | Away | 1 | 0 |
Counted from the same 33 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Hits Allowed |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 0 |
| 25th percentile | 0 |
| Median | 0 |
| 75th percentile | 1 |
| Highest logged game | 4 |
28 of 33 games (85%) landed between 0 and 1; 33 (100%) finished at or above the 0 median, and the spread from 0 to 4 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Aroldis Chapman actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| September 2026 | 7 | 0.4 |
| August 2026 | 9 | 0.4 |
| July 2026 | 13 | 0.7 |
| June 2026 | 4 | 1.8 |
| Gap | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| 1 day | 6 | 0.5 |
| 2 days | 11 | 0.5 |
| 3 to 4 days | 8 | 1 |
| 5 or more days | 7 | 0.4 |
The gap is the distance to the previous game in this log, not a rest figure — a box score does not record a game a player sat out inside it.
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Athletics | 4 | 1.3 | 2 |
| New York Yankees | 4 | 0.8 | 2 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 2 | 1.5 | 2 |
| Chicago White Sox | 2 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Kansas City Royals | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Most-faced in this log is Baltimore Orioles, 5 games at 1, best of 2. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Aroldis Chapman has gone over 1.5 strikeouts in 16 of 33 logged games (48%).
At home they average 1.3 over 17 games; away, 1.5 over 16.
Aroldis Chapman strikeouts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Aroldis Chapman has gone over 0.5 hits allowed in 16 of 33 logged games (48%).
At home they average 0.5 over 17 games; away, 0.9 over 16.
Aroldis Chapman hits allowed: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop history for Aroldis Chapman of the Boston Red Sox. What follows is the record in Strikeouts and Hits Allowed: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official MLB box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price. When the live board carries a line for this player, it appears at the top of this page.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official MLB box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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This page keeps the measured history. When the live board carries a line for Aroldis Chapman, it appears at the top of this page, and the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.
How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.
No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.
How MLB prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.