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Over 15 logged MLB games, Brayan Bello has gone over 3.5 hits allowed 6 times (40%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 3.1 hits allowed across those 15 games. Their last 5 (2.8) are in line with that, so there is no recent move to read into. These are measured box-score results from Boston Red Sox games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.
| Line | All 15 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 hits allowed | 13 of 15 (87%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 2.5 hits allowed | 10 of 15 (67%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 3.5 hits allowed | 6 of 15 (40%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 4.5 hits allowed | 3 of 15 (20%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 5.5 hits allowed | 1 of 15 (7%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Brayan Bello right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Brayan Bello has averaged 2.8 hits allowed over their last 5, against 3.1 across all 15 logged games — no meaningful move either way.
Brayan Bello's hits allowed varies moderately, a standard deviation of 1.8 around 3.1. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2.8 hits allowed |
| Last 10 games | 3.4 hits allowed |
| All 15 logged games | 3.1 hits allowed |
| Best in the log | 7 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (8 games) | 3.5 hits allowed |
| Away (7 games) | 2.6 hits allowed |
Brayan Bello's highest in this log is 7 hits allowed against the Seattle Mariners on 2026-09-02, and the lowest is 0 against the Texas Rangers on 2026-09-15. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 3.5 hits allowed |
|---|---|
| At home | 4 of 8 (50%) |
| On the road | 2 of 7 (29%) |
Brayan Bello has cleared 3.5 hits allowed 21 points more often at home, 50% in 8 home games against 29% in 7 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Hits Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | New York Yankees | Away | 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | Chicago Cubs | Home | 4 |
| 2026-09-19 | Tampa Bay Rays | Away | 5 |
| 2026-09-15 | Texas Rangers | Away | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Los Angeles Angels | Home | 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Seattle Mariners | Home | 7 |
| 2026-08-29 | New York Yankees | Away | 5 |
| 2026-08-24 | Miami Marlins | Away | 2 |
| 2026-08-17 | Arizona Diamondbacks | Home | 3 |
| 2026-08-09 | Athletics | Home | 3 |
Brayan Bello of the Boston Red Sox in hits allowed, measured from official MLB box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. No line or price is printed on this page; when the board carries one, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official MLB box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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None is printed on this page, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All Brayan Bello props and hit rates
How MLB prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.