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Over 16 logged MLB games, Michael Lorenzen has gone over 4.5 hits allowed 8 times (50%), and over their last 10 they have done it 3 times (30%). They average 5.1 hits allowed across those 16 games. Their last 5 average 3.0, 41% below their 5.1 across the full log. They have gone under 4.5 in each of their last 7. These are measured box-score results from Toronto Blue Jays games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.
| Line | All 16 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 hits allowed | 14 of 16 (88%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 3.5 hits allowed | 12 of 16 (75%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 4.5 hits allowed | 8 of 16 (50%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 6.5 hits allowed | 6 of 16 (38%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 7.5 hits allowed | 2 of 16 (13%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Michael Lorenzen right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Michael Lorenzen has averaged 3.0 hits allowed over their last 5, 41% below their 5.1 across all 16 logged games.
Michael Lorenzen's hits allowed varies moderately, a standard deviation of 2.0 around 5.1. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3.0 hits allowed |
| Last 10 games | 4.5 hits allowed |
| All 16 logged games | 5.1 hits allowed |
| Best in the log | 8 |
| Worst in the log | 2 |
| Home (7 games) | 4.9 hits allowed |
| Away (9 games) | 5.2 hits allowed |
Michael Lorenzen's highest in this log is 8 hits allowed against the St. Louis Cardinals on 2026-08-09, and the lowest is 2 against the Baltimore Orioles on 2026-09-13. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 4.5 hits allowed |
|---|---|
| At home | 3 of 7 (43%) |
| On the road | 5 of 9 (56%) |
Michael Lorenzen has cleared 4.5 hits allowed 13 points more often on the road, 43% in 7 home games against 56% in 9 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Hits Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Detroit Tigers | Home | 4 |
| 2026-09-13 | Baltimore Orioles | Home | 2 |
| 2026-09-09 | Athletics | Away | 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Kansas City Royals | Away | 3 |
| 2026-09-01 | Cleveland Guardians | Away | 2 |
| 2026-08-27 | Kansas City Royals | Home | 3 |
| 2026-08-15 | San Francisco Giants | Away | 4 |
| 2026-08-09 | St. Louis Cardinals | Away | 8 |
| 2026-08-03 | Tampa Bay Rays | Home | 7 |
| 2026-07-28 | San Diego Padres | Away | 8 |
Michael Lorenzen of the Toronto Blue Jays in hits allowed, measured from official MLB box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. No line or price is printed on this page; when the board carries one, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official MLB box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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None is printed on this page, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All Michael Lorenzen props and hit rates
How MLB prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.