How MLB RBIs actually behave

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Across 418 MLB players with at least 10 logged games in RBIs, this page measures 20031 games in total. The median player in that field averages 0.4 RBIs. The line closest to a coin flip sits at 0.5 for the median of the 418 players whose distribution supports one. Half the field is more often over it, half more often under. The deepest sample here is Max Muncy, with 103 logged games. 418 of them have at least three games home and away, so the venue gap below is measured rather than assumed. Every figure is counted from official box scores and describes games already played. It is not a projection, and on its own it says nothing about whether any price on offer is worth taking.

Measured as of 2026-11-15, rebuilt daily from official box scores. Window: 2026-07-18 to 2026-10-28. No prices appear on this page.

20,031 logged player-games from 1,010 unique games. A player-game is one player in one game, so a single game counts once for every player it logged.

Where the coin-flip line sits in MLB RBIs

Each player's own most balanced threshold: the half-point line he has finished above in closest to half his logged games, measured from his distribution rather than read off a book. Deepest sample first, not best to worst. The 40 deepest samples of 418 measured; the figures above this table are over all 418.

MLB RBIs: measured field
PlayerClubLogged gamesAverageBalanced lineHit rate there
Max MuncyDodgers1030.5 RBIsOver 0.532 of 103 (31%)
Junior CamineroRays800.6 RBIsOver 0.534 of 80 (43%)
Jackson ChourioBrewers770.6 RBIsOver 0.532 of 77 (42%)
Yandy DíazRays760.5 RBIsOver 0.524 of 76 (32%)
Chandler SimpsonRays740.4 RBIsOver 0.523 of 74 (31%)
Jonathan ArandaRays740.4 RBIsOver 0.522 of 74 (30%)
Jo AdellGuardians730.7 RBIsOver 0.526 of 73 (36%)
Matt OlsonBraves730.5 RBIsOver 0.526 of 73 (36%)
Munetaka MurakamiWhite Sox730.5 RBIsOver 0.526 of 73 (36%)
Ozzie AlbiesBraves730.4 RBIsOver 0.519 of 73 (26%)
Steven KwanGuardians730.2 RBIsOver 0.515 of 73 (21%)
Brice TurangBrewers720.6 RBIsOver 0.526 of 72 (36%)
Drake BaldwinBraves720.4 RBIsOver 0.524 of 72 (33%)
Michael Harris IIBraves720.5 RBIsOver 0.523 of 72 (32%)
Garrett MitchellBrewers710.4 RBIsOver 0.516 of 71 (23%)
Miguel VargasWhite Sox710.5 RBIsOver 0.523 of 71 (32%)
Sam AntonacciWhite Sox710.3 RBIsOver 0.517 of 71 (24%)
Tristan PetersWhite Sox710.3 RBIsOver 0.514 of 71 (20%)
Austin RileyBraves700.5 RBIsOver 0.522 of 70 (31%)
Brayan RocchioGuardians700.4 RBIsOver 0.521 of 70 (30%)
Jackson MerrillPadres700.7 RBIsOver 0.532 of 70 (46%)
Kyle TuckerDodgers700.4 RBIsOver 0.516 of 70 (23%)
Manny MachadoPadres700.6 RBIsOver 0.525 of 70 (36%)
Mookie BettsDodgers700.5 RBIsOver 0.520 of 70 (29%)
Travis BazzanaGuardians700.4 RBIsOver 0.520 of 70 (29%)
William ContrerasBrewers700.7 RBIsOver 0.530 of 70 (43%)
Braden MontgomeryWhite Sox690.3 RBIsOver 0.519 of 69 (28%)
Fernando Tatis Jr.Padres690.7 RBIsOver 0.533 of 69 (48%)
Jake BauersBrewers690.5 RBIsOver 0.520 of 69 (29%)
Liam HicksRays690.5 RBIsOver 0.519 of 69 (28%)
Teoscar HernándezDodgers690.4 RBIsOver 0.521 of 69 (30%)
Tommy EdmanDodgers690.4 RBIsOver 0.520 of 69 (29%)
Colson MontgomeryWhite Sox680.5 RBIsOver 0.521 of 68 (31%)
Jake CronenworthPadres680.5 RBIsOver 0.523 of 68 (34%)
Mauricio DubónBraves680.3 RBIsOver 0.517 of 68 (25%)
Ty FrancePadres680.6 RBIsOver 0.523 of 68 (34%)
Ben RiceYankees670.6 RBIsOver 0.523 of 67 (34%)
Bryce HarperPhillies670.5 RBIsOver 0.523 of 67 (34%)
Chase MeidrothWhite Sox670.5 RBIsOver 0.520 of 67 (30%)
Christian YelichBrewers670.5 RBIsOver 0.522 of 67 (33%)

The widest home and away gaps in MLB RBIs

Both averages are over the games actually played at each venue, and the game count for each is in the cell beside it. A gap measured over a handful of games either way is one you cannot distinguish from noise. This table prints the denominators so you can tell which is which. Three games a side is the floor for appearing here at all.

MLB RBIs: venue gaps
PlayerClubHome (games)Away (games)Gap
Danny JansenRangers0.1 (16)1.2 (10)1.1 away
Kyle ManzardoGuardians0.3 (10)1.2 (5)0.9 away
Luis TorrensMets0.3 (15)1.1 (17)0.8 away
Lucas SpenceAstros0.2 (10)1.0 (10)0.8 away
Starling MarteRoyals0.8 (5)0.1 (10)0.7 at home
Christopher MorelMets0.1 (9)0.8 (5)0.7 away
Daylen LileNationals1.0 (30)0.3 (34)0.7 at home
Shea LangeliersAthletics0.9 (10)0.2 (9)0.7 at home
Eugenio SuárezReds0.3 (25)0.9 (32)0.6 away
Ian HappCubs0.1 (33)0.7 (32)0.6 away

Ahead of their own baseline over the last five

Last five logged games against the full log, reported only where the gap is more than a tenth of the player’s own average. It is a description of five games that have been played and it is not a forecast of the sixth.

Ahead of their own baseline over the last five
PlayerClubLast 5Full logDifference
Davis SchneiderBlue Jays0.8 RBIs0.2 over 20300% above
Eli WhiteRed Sox1.2 RBIs0.3 over 40243% above
José TenaNationals0.4 RBIs0.1 over 42236% above
Ben RiceYankees1.8 RBIs0.6 over 67217% above
Geraldo PerdomoDiamondbacks1.2 RBIs0.4 over 64207% above
Luke KeaschallTwins1.2 RBIs0.4 over 60200% above
Gavin SheetsPadres0.8 RBIs0.3 over 37196% above
Nolan SchanuelAngels1.4 RBIs0.5 over 29190% above
David HamiltonBrewers0.8 RBIs0.3 over 56164% above
Jose AltuveAstros1.0 RBIs0.4 over 62158% above

Behind their own baseline over the last five

The same comparison in the other direction, and the same caveat: five games is five games, and a run below a baseline is as often noise as it is a change.

Behind their own baseline over the last five
PlayerClubLast 5Full logDifference
Jonathan ArandaRays0.0 RBIs0.4 over 74100% below
Jo AdellGuardians0.0 RBIs0.7 over 73100% below
Steven KwanGuardians0.0 RBIs0.2 over 73100% below
Mookie BettsDodgers0.0 RBIs0.5 over 70100% below
Kyle TuckerDodgers0.0 RBIs0.4 over 70100% below
Austin RileyBraves0.0 RBIs0.5 over 70100% below
Jackson MerrillPadres0.0 RBIs0.7 over 70100% below
Jake BauersBrewers0.0 RBIs0.5 over 69100% below
Tommy EdmanDodgers0.0 RBIs0.4 over 69100% below
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCubs0.0 RBIs0.8 over 67100% below

Common questions

Where does the MLB RBIs coin-flip line sit?

At the half-point threshold each player has finished above in about half their logged games. It is measured per player from their own distribution rather than read off a sportsbook, which is why it is on this page at all: a posted line moves through the day and this page is rebuilt once, so a number taken from a book would be wrong by morning.

Is this a ranking of the best MLB RBIs props?

No. Nothing here is ordered by how good a bet it is, and no price is quoted anywhere on the page. The tables are ordered by sample depth, by spread and by the size of a measured gap, because those are the things a game log can actually establish.

How many games are behind each RBIs figure?

The count is printed beside every one of them. A player only appears once they have ten or more logged games in the market, and games they did not play are absent rather than counted as zero, so an average describes games they were actually in.

Does a RBIs trend on this page predict the next game?

No. A trend here is a comparison between a player’s last five logged games and their full log, and it is reported only when the gap is large enough to be worth naming. It is a description of what has happened, and history is not a forecast.

What these tables are measuring, explained: how to read a hit rate and what its denominator hides, what an over/under line is and what it is not.

MLB player props and live odds

Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.