This page is loading and it needs JavaScript. The written page below is served without it.
Across 418 MLB players with at least 10 logged games in RBIs, this page measures 20031 games in total. The median player in that field averages 0.4 RBIs. The line closest to a coin flip sits at 0.5 for the median of the 418 players whose distribution supports one. Half the field is more often over it, half more often under. The deepest sample here is Max Muncy, with 103 logged games. 418 of them have at least three games home and away, so the venue gap below is measured rather than assumed. Every figure is counted from official box scores and describes games already played. It is not a projection, and on its own it says nothing about whether any price on offer is worth taking.
Each player's own most balanced threshold: the half-point line he has finished above in closest to half his logged games, measured from his distribution rather than read off a book. Deepest sample first, not best to worst. The 40 deepest samples of 418 measured; the figures above this table are over all 418.
| Player | Club | Logged games | Average | Balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | Dodgers | 103 | 0.5 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 32 of 103 (31%) |
| Junior Caminero | Rays | 80 | 0.6 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 34 of 80 (43%) |
| Jackson Chourio | Brewers | 77 | 0.6 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 32 of 77 (42%) |
| Yandy Díaz | Rays | 76 | 0.5 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 24 of 76 (32%) |
| Chandler Simpson | Rays | 74 | 0.4 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 23 of 74 (31%) |
| Jonathan Aranda | Rays | 74 | 0.4 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 22 of 74 (30%) |
| Jo Adell | Guardians | 73 | 0.7 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 26 of 73 (36%) |
| Matt Olson | Braves | 73 | 0.5 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 26 of 73 (36%) |
| Munetaka Murakami | White Sox | 73 | 0.5 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 26 of 73 (36%) |
| Ozzie Albies | Braves | 73 | 0.4 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 19 of 73 (26%) |
| Steven Kwan | Guardians | 73 | 0.2 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 15 of 73 (21%) |
| Brice Turang | Brewers | 72 | 0.6 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 26 of 72 (36%) |
| Drake Baldwin | Braves | 72 | 0.4 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 24 of 72 (33%) |
| Michael Harris II | Braves | 72 | 0.5 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 23 of 72 (32%) |
| Garrett Mitchell | Brewers | 71 | 0.4 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 16 of 71 (23%) |
| Miguel Vargas | White Sox | 71 | 0.5 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 23 of 71 (32%) |
| Sam Antonacci | White Sox | 71 | 0.3 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 17 of 71 (24%) |
| Tristan Peters | White Sox | 71 | 0.3 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 14 of 71 (20%) |
| Austin Riley | Braves | 70 | 0.5 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 22 of 70 (31%) |
| Brayan Rocchio | Guardians | 70 | 0.4 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 21 of 70 (30%) |
| Jackson Merrill | Padres | 70 | 0.7 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 32 of 70 (46%) |
| Kyle Tucker | Dodgers | 70 | 0.4 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 16 of 70 (23%) |
| Manny Machado | Padres | 70 | 0.6 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 25 of 70 (36%) |
| Mookie Betts | Dodgers | 70 | 0.5 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 20 of 70 (29%) |
| Travis Bazzana | Guardians | 70 | 0.4 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 20 of 70 (29%) |
| William Contreras | Brewers | 70 | 0.7 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 30 of 70 (43%) |
| Braden Montgomery | White Sox | 69 | 0.3 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 19 of 69 (28%) |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | Padres | 69 | 0.7 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 33 of 69 (48%) |
| Jake Bauers | Brewers | 69 | 0.5 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 20 of 69 (29%) |
| Liam Hicks | Rays | 69 | 0.5 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 19 of 69 (28%) |
| Teoscar Hernández | Dodgers | 69 | 0.4 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 21 of 69 (30%) |
| Tommy Edman | Dodgers | 69 | 0.4 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 20 of 69 (29%) |
| Colson Montgomery | White Sox | 68 | 0.5 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 21 of 68 (31%) |
| Jake Cronenworth | Padres | 68 | 0.5 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 23 of 68 (34%) |
| Mauricio Dubón | Braves | 68 | 0.3 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 17 of 68 (25%) |
| Ty France | Padres | 68 | 0.6 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 23 of 68 (34%) |
| Ben Rice | Yankees | 67 | 0.6 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 23 of 67 (34%) |
| Bryce Harper | Phillies | 67 | 0.5 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 23 of 67 (34%) |
| Chase Meidroth | White Sox | 67 | 0.5 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 20 of 67 (30%) |
| Christian Yelich | Brewers | 67 | 0.5 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 22 of 67 (33%) |
Both averages are over the games actually played at each venue, and the game count for each is in the cell beside it. A gap measured over a handful of games either way is one you cannot distinguish from noise. This table prints the denominators so you can tell which is which. Three games a side is the floor for appearing here at all.
| Player | Club | Home (games) | Away (games) | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Jansen | Rangers | 0.1 (16) | 1.2 (10) | 1.1 away |
| Kyle Manzardo | Guardians | 0.3 (10) | 1.2 (5) | 0.9 away |
| Luis Torrens | Mets | 0.3 (15) | 1.1 (17) | 0.8 away |
| Lucas Spence | Astros | 0.2 (10) | 1.0 (10) | 0.8 away |
| Starling Marte | Royals | 0.8 (5) | 0.1 (10) | 0.7 at home |
| Christopher Morel | Mets | 0.1 (9) | 0.8 (5) | 0.7 away |
| Daylen Lile | Nationals | 1.0 (30) | 0.3 (34) | 0.7 at home |
| Shea Langeliers | Athletics | 0.9 (10) | 0.2 (9) | 0.7 at home |
| Eugenio Suárez | Reds | 0.3 (25) | 0.9 (32) | 0.6 away |
| Ian Happ | Cubs | 0.1 (33) | 0.7 (32) | 0.6 away |
Last five logged games against the full log, reported only where the gap is more than a tenth of the player’s own average. It is a description of five games that have been played and it is not a forecast of the sixth.
| Player | Club | Last 5 | Full log | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider | Blue Jays | 0.8 RBIs | 0.2 over 20 | 300% above |
| Eli White | Red Sox | 1.2 RBIs | 0.3 over 40 | 243% above |
| José Tena | Nationals | 0.4 RBIs | 0.1 over 42 | 236% above |
| Ben Rice | Yankees | 1.8 RBIs | 0.6 over 67 | 217% above |
| Geraldo Perdomo | Diamondbacks | 1.2 RBIs | 0.4 over 64 | 207% above |
| Luke Keaschall | Twins | 1.2 RBIs | 0.4 over 60 | 200% above |
| Gavin Sheets | Padres | 0.8 RBIs | 0.3 over 37 | 196% above |
| Nolan Schanuel | Angels | 1.4 RBIs | 0.5 over 29 | 190% above |
| David Hamilton | Brewers | 0.8 RBIs | 0.3 over 56 | 164% above |
| Jose Altuve | Astros | 1.0 RBIs | 0.4 over 62 | 158% above |
The same comparison in the other direction, and the same caveat: five games is five games, and a run below a baseline is as often noise as it is a change.
| Player | Club | Last 5 | Full log | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Aranda | Rays | 0.0 RBIs | 0.4 over 74 | 100% below |
| Jo Adell | Guardians | 0.0 RBIs | 0.7 over 73 | 100% below |
| Steven Kwan | Guardians | 0.0 RBIs | 0.2 over 73 | 100% below |
| Mookie Betts | Dodgers | 0.0 RBIs | 0.5 over 70 | 100% below |
| Kyle Tucker | Dodgers | 0.0 RBIs | 0.4 over 70 | 100% below |
| Austin Riley | Braves | 0.0 RBIs | 0.5 over 70 | 100% below |
| Jackson Merrill | Padres | 0.0 RBIs | 0.7 over 70 | 100% below |
| Jake Bauers | Brewers | 0.0 RBIs | 0.5 over 69 | 100% below |
| Tommy Edman | Dodgers | 0.0 RBIs | 0.4 over 69 | 100% below |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Cubs | 0.0 RBIs | 0.8 over 67 | 100% below |
At the half-point threshold each player has finished above in about half their logged games. It is measured per player from their own distribution rather than read off a sportsbook, which is why it is on this page at all: a posted line moves through the day and this page is rebuilt once, so a number taken from a book would be wrong by morning.
No. Nothing here is ordered by how good a bet it is, and no price is quoted anywhere on the page. The tables are ordered by sample depth, by spread and by the size of a measured gap, because those are the things a game log can actually establish.
The count is printed beside every one of them. A player only appears once they have ten or more logged games in the market, and games they did not play are absent rather than counted as zero, so an average describes games they were actually in.
No. A trend here is a comparison between a player’s last five logged games and their full log, and it is reported only when the gap is large enough to be worth naming. It is a description of what has happened, and history is not a forecast.
What these tables are measuring, explained: how to read a hit rate and what its denominator hides, what an over/under line is and what it is not.
MLB player props and live odds
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.