How MLB RBIs actually behave

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Across 490 MLB players with at least 10 logged games in RBIs, this page measures 32225 games in total. The median player in that field averages 0.4 RBIs. The line closest to a coin flip sits at 0.5 for the median of the 490 players whose distribution supports one — half the field is more often over it, half more often under. The deepest sample here is Max Muncy, with 153 logged games. 490 of them have at least three games home and away, so the venue gap below is measured rather than assumed. Every figure is counted from official box scores and describes games already played. It is not a projection, and on its own it says nothing about whether any price on offer is worth taking.

Measured as of 2026-09-20, rebuilt daily from official box scores. Window: 2026-05-23 to 2026-09-20. No prices appear on this page.

Where the coin-flip line sits in MLB RBIs

Each player's own most balanced threshold — the half-point line he has finished above in closest to half his logged games — measured from his distribution rather than read off a book. Deepest sample first, not best to worst. The 40 deepest samples of 490 measured; the figures above this table are over all 490.

MLB RBIs — measured field
Player	Club	Logged games	Average	Balanced line	Hit rate there
Max Muncy	Dodgers	153	0.5 RBIs	Over 0.5	50 of 153 (33%)
Alec Burleson	Cardinals	107	0.7 RBIs	Over 0.5	46 of 107 (43%)
Iván Herrera	Cardinals	107	0.4 RBIs	Over 0.5	29 of 107 (27%)
Junior Caminero	Rays	107	0.6 RBIs	Over 0.5	45 of 107 (42%)
Sal Stewart	Reds	107	0.7 RBIs	Over 0.5	45 of 107 (42%)
Bryce Harper	Phillies	106	0.5 RBIs	Over 0.5	38 of 106 (36%)
Jackson Merrill	Padres	106	0.6 RBIs	Over 0.5	44 of 106 (42%)
Miguel Vargas	White Sox	106	0.6 RBIs	Over 0.5	33 of 106 (31%)
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Cubs	106	0.8 RBIs	Over 0.5	46 of 106 (43%)
Bryan Reynolds	Pirates	105	0.4 RBIs	Over 0.5	29 of 105 (28%)
Ezequiel Duran	Rangers	105	0.6 RBIs	Over 0.5	39 of 105 (37%)
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Padres	105	0.6 RBIs	Over 0.5	43 of 105 (41%)
Jackson Chourio	Brewers	105	0.6 RBIs	Over 0.5	41 of 105 (39%)
JJ Bleday	Reds	105	0.3 RBIs	Over 0.5	25 of 105 (24%)
Jordan Walker	Cardinals	105	0.6 RBIs	Over 0.5	36 of 105 (34%)
Matt Olson	Braves	105	0.4 RBIs	Over 0.5	32 of 105 (30%)
Ozzie Albies	Braves	105	0.4 RBIs	Over 0.5	29 of 105 (28%)
Bryson Stott	Phillies	104	0.4 RBIs	Over 0.5	29 of 104 (28%)
Corbin Carroll	Diamondbacks	104	0.4 RBIs	Over 0.5	28 of 104 (27%)
Geraldo Perdomo	Diamondbacks	104	0.3 RBIs	Over 0.5	26 of 104 (25%)
Henry Bolte	Athletics	104	0.3 RBIs	Over 0.5	23 of 104 (22%)
Manny Machado	Padres	104	0.6 RBIs	Over 0.5	39 of 104 (38%)
Michael Busch	Cubs	104	0.5 RBIs	Over 0.5	38 of 104 (37%)
Pete Alonso	Orioles	104	0.7 RBIs	Over 0.5	44 of 104 (42%)
Yandy Díaz	Rays	104	0.5 RBIs	Over 0.5	36 of 104 (35%)
Alex Bregman	Cubs	103	0.7 RBIs	Over 0.5	38 of 103 (37%)
Bo Bichette	Mets	103	0.5 RBIs	Over 0.5	32 of 103 (31%)
Brandon Marsh	Phillies	103	0.3 RBIs	Over 0.5	27 of 103 (26%)
Brooks Lee	Twins	103	0.6 RBIs	Over 0.5	34 of 103 (33%)
Daylen Lile	Nationals	103	0.6 RBIs	Over 0.5	35 of 103 (34%)
Ernie Clement	Blue Jays	103	0.3 RBIs	Over 0.5	26 of 103 (25%)
Gunnar Henderson	Orioles	103	0.3 RBIs	Over 0.5	22 of 103 (21%)
Isaac Paredes	Astros	103	0.7 RBIs	Over 0.5	41 of 103 (40%)
Kyle Schwarber	Phillies	103	0.6 RBIs	Over 0.5	34 of 103 (33%)
Nico Hoerner	Cubs	103	0.4 RBIs	Over 0.5	30 of 103 (29%)
Tristan Peters	White Sox	103	0.4 RBIs	Over 0.5	26 of 103 (25%)
A.J. Ewing	Mets	102	0.4 RBIs	Over 0.5	22 of 102 (22%)
Alec Bohm	Phillies	102	0.6 RBIs	Over 0.5	43 of 102 (42%)
Ben Rice	Yankees	102	0.6 RBIs	Over 0.5	37 of 102 (36%)
Caleb Durbin	Red Sox	102	0.5 RBIs	Over 0.5	33 of 102 (32%)

The widest home and away gaps in MLB RBIs

Both averages are over the games actually played at each venue, and the game count for each is in the cell beside it. A gap measured over a handful of games either way is one you cannot distinguish from noise — this table prints the denominators so you can tell which is which. Three games a side is the floor for appearing here at all.

MLB RBIs — venue gaps
Player	Club	Home (games)	Away (games)	Gap
Aaron Judge	Yankees	0.3 (6)	1.1 (8)	0.8 away
Ian Happ	Cubs	0.1 (48)	0.8 (53)	0.7 away
Matt Chapman	Giants	0.4 (17)	1.1 (17)	0.7 away
Jordan Walker	Cardinals	0.3 (55)	0.9 (50)	0.6 away
Tyler Stephenson	Reds	0.2 (46)	0.8 (40)	0.6 away
Willy Adames	Giants	0.2 (35)	0.8 (36)	0.6 away
Luis Torrens	Mets	0.2 (30)	0.8 (30)	0.6 away
Danny Jansen	Rangers	0.2 (17)	0.8 (11)	0.6 away
Thomas Saggese	Cardinals	0.2 (15)	0.8 (10)	0.6 away
Dustin Harris	Padres	0.2 (9)	0.8 (13)	0.6 away

Ahead of their own baseline over the last five

Last five logged games against the full log, reported only where the gap is more than a tenth of the player’s own average. It is a description of five games that have been played and it is not a forecast of the sixth.

Ahead of their own baseline over the last five
Player	Club	Last 5	Full log	Difference
Esteury Ruiz	Marlins	0.8 RBIs	0.1 over 81	489% above
David Fry	Guardians	0.8 RBIs	0.2 over 55	389% above
Chandler Simpson	Rays	1.0 RBIs	0.3 over 99	281% above
Eli White	Red Sox	1.2 RBIs	0.3 over 67	265% above
Nolan Schanuel	Angels	1.4 RBIs	0.4 over 59	230% above
Pedro Pagés	Cardinals	0.2 RBIs	0.1 over 48	220% above
Petey Halpin	Guardians	0.6 RBIs	0.2 over 63	215% above
Agustín Ramírez	Marlins	0.8 RBIs	0.3 over 34	202% above
Samad Taylor	Padres	1.2 RBIs	0.4 over 42	196% above
Adam Frazier	Angels	0.6 RBIs	0.2 over 32	174% above

Behind their own baseline over the last five

The same comparison in the other direction, and the same caveat: five games is five games, and a run below a baseline is as often noise as it is a change.

Behind their own baseline over the last five
Player	Club	Full log	Difference
Jordan Walker	Cardinals	0.6 over 105	100% below
Bryan Reynolds	Pirates	0.4 over 105	100% below
JJ Bleday	Reds	0.3 over 105	100% below
Yandy Díaz	Rays	0.5 over 104	100% below
Geraldo Perdomo	Diamondbacks	0.3 over 104	100% below
Kyle Schwarber	Phillies	0.6 over 103	100% below
Brandon Marsh	Phillies	0.3 over 103	100% below
Tristan Peters	White Sox	0.4 over 103	100% below
Caleb Durbin	Red Sox	0.5 over 102	100% below
Cole Young	Mariners	0.4 over 102	100% below

Common questions

Where does the MLB RBIs coin-flip line sit?

At the half-point threshold each player has finished above in about half their logged games. It is measured per player from their own distribution rather than read off a sportsbook, which is why it is on this page at all: a posted line moves through the day and this page is rebuilt once, so a number taken from a book would be wrong by morning.

Is this a ranking of the best MLB RBIs props?

No. Nothing here is ordered by how good a bet it is, and no price is quoted anywhere on the page. The tables are ordered by sample depth, by spread and by the size of a measured gap, because those are the things a game log can actually establish.

How many games are behind each RBIs figure?

The count is printed beside every one of them. A player only appears once they have ten or more logged games in the market, and games they did not play are absent rather than counted as zero, so an average describes games they were actually in.

Does a RBIs trend on this page predict the next game?

No. A trend here is a comparison between a player’s last five logged games and their full log, and it is reported only when the gap is large enough to be worth naming. It is a description of what has happened, and history is not a forecast.

What these tables are measuring, explained: how to read a hit rate and what its denominator hides, what an over/under line is and what it is not.

MLB player props and live odds

Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates, edges and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.