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With no line posted, over 48 MLB games since July 2026, Francisco Alvarez has gone over a balanced line of 0.5 hits 26 times (54%), and over their last 10 they have done it 6 times (60%). They average 0.7 hits across those 48 games. Their last 5 average 1.2, 80% above their 0.7 this season (48 games). These are measured box-score results from New York Mets games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | 48 | 0.7 hits | Over 0.5 | 26 of 48 (54%) |
| Home Runs | 48 | 0.1 home runs | Over 0.5 | 4 of 48 (8%) |
| RBIs | 48 | 0.4 RBIs | Over 0.5 | 14 of 48 (29%) |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | Over 0.5 | 26 of 48 (54%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Hits | Over 1.5 | 6 of 48 (13%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Home Runs | Over 0.5 | 4 of 48 (8%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
| RBIs | Over 0.5 | 14 of 48 (29%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| RBIs | Over 1.5 | 4 of 48 (8%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
Every market measured for Francisco Alvarez, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Hits | Home Runs | RBIs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Washington Nationals | Away | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-25 | Washington Nationals | Away | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | Texas Rangers | Away | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-22 | Texas Rangers | Away | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026-09-20 | Philadelphia Phillies | Home | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Philadelphia Phillies | Home | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2026-09-17 | Philadelphia Phillies | Home | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-15 | Baltimore Orioles | Home | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-14 | Baltimore Orioles | Home | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | New York Yankees | Away | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | New York Yankees | Away | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | Miami Marlins | Away | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Miami Marlins | Away | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | San Francisco Giants | Home | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | San Francisco Giants | Home | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 2026-09-01 | Tampa Bay Rays | Away | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Counted from the same 48 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Hits |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 0 |
| 25th percentile | 0 |
| Median | 1 |
| 75th percentile | 1 |
| Highest logged game | 2 |
42 of 48 games (88%) landed between 0 and 1; 26 (54%) finished at or above the 1 median, and the spread from 0 to 2 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Francisco Alvarez actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| September 2026 | 16 | 0.9 |
| August 2026 | 22 | 0.5 |
| July 2026 | 10 | 0.6 |
| Gap | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| 1 day | 25 | 0.6 |
| 2 days | 18 | 0.8 |
| 3 to 4 days | 3 | 1 |
The gap is the distance to the previous game in this log, not a rest figure. A box score does not record a game a player sat out inside it.
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | 6 | 0.7 | 2 |
| Miami Marlins | 5 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 4 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Washington Nationals | 4 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Cleveland Guardians | 3 | 0.7 | 1 |
Most-faced in this log is Atlanta Braves, 6 games at 0.7, best of 2. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 1 median rather than a posted line, Francisco Alvarez's longest run at or above it is 5 games and the run open at the newest of the 48 is 0. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
Francisco Alvarez has gone over 0.5 hits in 26 of 48 logged games (54%).
At home they average 0.6 over 24 games; away, 0.7 over 24.
Francisco Alvarez hits: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Francisco Alvarez has gone over 0.5 home runs in 4 of 48 logged games (8%).
At home they average 0.2 over 24 games; away, 0.0 over 24.
Francisco Alvarez has gone over 0.5 RBIs in 14 of 48 logged games (29%).
At home they average 0.5 over 24 games; away, 0.3 over 24.
Francisco Alvarez RBIs: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop history for Francisco Alvarez of the New York Mets. Nothing is priced right now, so what follows is the record in Hits, Home Runs and RBIs: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official MLB box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price: when the books post this market again the live board appears at the top of this page.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official MLB box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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Not while the MLB board is down. This page keeps the measured history in the meantime and the live board reappears at the top of it the morning after the books post this market: the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.
How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.
No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price because no price is posted. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.
How MLB prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.