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Over 36 logged MLB games, Grant Holmes has gone over 4.5 hits allowed 17 times (47%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 4.0 hits allowed across those 36 games. Their last 5 (3.8) are in line with that, so there is no recent move to read into. Against the Philadelphia Phillies in this log they have 4 games, averaging 4.8. These are measured box-score results from Atlanta Braves games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.
| Line | All 36 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 hits allowed | 33 of 36 (92%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 2.5 hits allowed | 27 of 36 (75%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 4.5 hits allowed | 17 of 36 (47%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 5.5 hits allowed | 9 of 36 (25%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 6.5 hits allowed | 6 of 36 (17%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Grant Holmes right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Grant Holmes has averaged 3.8 hits allowed over their last 5, against 4.0 across all 36 logged games — no meaningful move either way.
Grant Holmes's hits allowed varies moderately, a standard deviation of 2.3 around 4.0. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3.8 hits allowed |
| Last 10 games | 4.2 hits allowed |
| All 36 logged games | 4.0 hits allowed |
| Best in the log | 8 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (18 games) | 4.6 hits allowed |
| Away (18 games) | 3.3 hits allowed |
Grant Holmes's highest in this log is 8 hits allowed against the Houston Astros on 2026-09-19, and the lowest is 0 against the Washington Nationals on 2026-09-02. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 4.5 hits allowed |
|---|---|
| At home | 12 of 18 (67%) |
| On the road | 5 of 18 (28%) |
Grant Holmes has cleared 4.5 hits allowed 39 points more often at home, 67% in 18 home games against 28% in 18 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Grant Holmes has 4 logged games against the Philadelphia Phillies, averaging 4.8 hits allowed with a high of 7. Most recent first, those games read 5, 3, 7, 4. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Hits Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Miami Marlins | Away | 3 |
| 2026-09-19 | Houston Astros | Away | 8 |
| 2026-09-13 | Philadelphia Phillies | Home | 5 |
| 2026-09-07 | Philadelphia Phillies | Away | 3 |
| 2026-09-02 | Washington Nationals | Away | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Colorado Rockies | Home | 8 |
| 2026-08-20 | Chicago White Sox | Away | 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks | Home | 6 |
| 2026-08-09 | New York Yankees | Away | 3 |
| 2026-08-04 | Miami Marlins | Home | 5 |
Every hits allowed prop the books have posted for Grant Holmes of the Atlanta Braves, with the MLB game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official MLB box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar with a positive shrunk estimate at the current price, at least ten games behind the rate, a B− grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Grant Holmes props and hit rates
How MLB prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates, edges and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.