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Over 21 logged MLB games, Hagen Smith has gone over 2.5 strikeouts 11 times (52%), and over their last 10 they have done it 6 times (60%). They average 2.3 strikeouts across those 21 games. Their last 5 average 1.8, 23% below their 2.3 across the full log. They have gone under 2.5 in each of their last 3. These are measured box-score results from Chicago White Sox games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.
| Line | All 21 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 strikeouts | 20 of 21 (95%) | 10 of 10 (100%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 1.5 strikeouts | 15 of 21 (71%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 2.5 strikeouts | 11 of 21 (52%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 3.5 strikeouts | 2 of 21 (10%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 4.5 strikeouts | 1 of 21 (5%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Hagen Smith right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Hagen Smith has averaged 1.8 strikeouts over their last 5, 23% below their 2.3 across all 21 logged games.
Hagen Smith's strikeouts varies moderately, a standard deviation of 1.2 around 2.3. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1.8 strikeouts |
| Last 10 games | 2.5 strikeouts |
| All 21 logged games | 2.3 strikeouts |
| Best in the log | 5 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (12 games) | 2.5 strikeouts |
| Away (9 games) | 2.1 strikeouts |
Hagen Smith's highest in this log is 5 strikeouts against the Kansas City Royals on 2026-03-15, and the lowest is 0 against the Chicago Cubs on 2026-08-17. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 2.5 strikeouts |
|---|---|
| At home | 8 of 12 (67%) |
| On the road | 3 of 9 (33%) |
Hagen Smith has cleared 2.5 strikeouts 34 points more often at home, 67% in 12 home games against 33% in 9 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Colorado Rockies | Home | 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | Kansas City Royals | Away | 2 |
| 2026-09-20 | Detroit Tigers | Home | 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | Detroit Tigers | Home | 3 |
| 2026-09-16 | Cleveland Guardians | Away | 2 |
| 2026-09-14 | Cleveland Guardians | Away | 3 |
| 2026-09-12 | St. Louis Cardinals | Away | 3 |
| 2026-09-10 | Pittsburgh Pirates | Home | 3 |
| 2026-09-06 | Minnesota Twins | Home | 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Minnesota Twins | Home | 3 |
Every strikeouts prop the books have posted for Hagen Smith of the Chicago White Sox, with the MLB game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official MLB box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar with a positive shrunk estimate at the current price, at least ten games behind the rate, a B− grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Hagen Smith props and hit rates · Every MLB strikeouts prop
How MLB prop markets behave, measured across the league
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