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With no line posted, over 61 MLB games since July 2026, Josh Naylor has gone over a balanced line of 0.5 hits 39 times (64%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 1.1 hits across those 61 games. Their last 5 average 0.4, 63% below their 1.1 this season (61 games). These are measured box-score results from Seattle Mariners games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Line | All 61 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 hits | 39 of 61 (64%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 1.5 hits | 21 of 61 (34%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 2.5 hits | 6 of 61 (10%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Josh Naylor right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Josh Naylor has averaged 0.4 hits over their last 5, 63% below their 1.1 across all 61 logged games.
Josh Naylor's hits swing widely: a standard deviation of 1.0 on a 1.1 average. A wide spread means the average describes the middle of a broad range rather than a typical night.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0.4 hits |
| Last 10 games | 0.5 hits |
| All 61 logged games | 1.1 hits |
| Best in the log | 3 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (31 games) | 1.0 hits |
| Away (30 games) | 1.2 hits |
Josh Naylor's highest in this log is 3 hits against the Athletics on 2026-09-12, and the lowest is 0 against the Los Angeles Angels on 2026-09-26. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 0.5 hits |
|---|---|
| At home | 18 of 31 (58%) |
| On the road | 21 of 30 (70%) |
| On one day between games | 35 of 51 (69%) |
| On two or more days between games | 4 of 9 (44%) |
| Against the Athletics | 5 of 7 (71%) |
| Against the Texas Rangers | 4 of 7 (57%) |
| Against the Los Angeles Angels | 3 of 7 (43%) |
| Against the Houston Astros | 4 of 5 (80%) |
Josh Naylor has cleared 0.5 hits 12 points more often on the road, 58% in 31 home games against 70% in 30 away.
Short rest has suited them, 69% over 51 games on a single day between games against 44% over 9 with more.
Their deepest matchup sample is 7 games against the Athletics, 5 of them over 0.5 hits.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Hits |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Los Angeles Angels | Home | 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | Los Angeles Angels | Home | 0 |
| 2026-09-25 | Los Angeles Angels | Home | 0 |
| 2026-09-24 | Los Angeles Angels | Home | 0 |
| 2026-09-23 | Houston Astros | Home | 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | Houston Astros | Home | 0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Colorado Rockies | Away | 0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Colorado Rockies | Away | 0 |
| 2026-09-18 | Colorado Rockies | Away | 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | Los Angeles Angels | Away | 2 |
Josh Naylor of the Seattle Mariners in hits, measured from official MLB box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. There is no line and no price on this page because none is posted; when one is, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official MLB box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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There is none posted at the moment, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All Josh Naylor props and hit rates
How MLB prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.