Leo Rivas player props and hit rates

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Over 95 logged MLB games, Leo Rivas has gone over 0.5 hits 29 times (31%), and over their last 10 they have done it 3 times (30%). They average 0.3 hits across those 95 games. Their last 5 average 0.6, 73% above their 0.3 across the full log. Against the Los Angeles Angels in this log they have 7 games, averaging 0.1. These are measured box-score results from Seattle Mariners games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.

Measured history as of 2026-09-25. Rebuilt daily; lines and prices load live.

Every market Leo Rivas is priced in

Leo Rivas — measured history by market
MarketLogged gamesAverageMost balanced lineHit rate there
Home Runs950.0 home runsOver 0.54 of 95 (4%)
RBIs950.2 RBIsOver 0.513 of 95 (14%)
Hits950.3 hitsOver 0.529 of 95 (31%)

Leo Rivas's last 16 games, market by market

Every market Leo Rivas is currently priced in, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.

Leo Rivas — recent games across every priced market
DateOpponentVenueHome RunsRBIsHits
2026-09-24Los Angeles AngelsHome000
2026-08-23Chicago CubsHome000
2026-08-22Chicago CubsHome012
2026-08-21Chicago CubsHome011
2026-08-20Milwaukee BrewersAway000
2026-08-13New York YankeesAway000
2026-08-12New York YankeesAway000
2026-08-06Detroit TigersHome001
2026-08-02Minnesota TwinsHome000
2026-08-01Minnesota TwinsHome000
2026-05-17San Diego PadresHome000
2026-05-16San Diego PadresHome000
2026-05-13Houston AstrosAway000
2026-05-10Chicago White SoxAway000
2026-05-09Chicago White SoxAway000
2026-05-08Chicago White SoxAway000

Leo Rivas hits: the shape of the log

Counted from the same 95 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.

Where Leo Rivas's hits have landed

Leo Rivas — hits by percentile over 95 logged games
PercentileHits
Lowest logged game0
25th percentile0
Median0
75th percentile1
Highest logged game2

91 of 95 games (96%) landed between 0 and 1; 95 (100%) finished at or above the 0 median, and the spread from 0 to 2 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Leo Rivas actually recorded.

Leo Rivas by month

Leo Rivas — hits by calendar month, newest first
MonthLogged gamesAverage
August 202690.4
May 2026120.2
April 2026200.4
March 2026230.5
February 202640.5
October 202580.3

By days since the previous logged game

Leo Rivas — hits by the gap back to the last game in this log
GapLogged gamesAverage
1 day580.4
2 days170.3
3 to 4 days120.3
5 or more days70.3

The gap is the distance to the previous game in this log, not a rest figure — a box score does not record a game a player sat out inside it.

Opponents Leo Rivas has faced most

Leo Rivas — hits against the opponents this log has seen more than once
OpponentLogged gamesAverageBest
Kansas City Royals70.31
Los Angeles Angels70.11
Atlanta Braves60.52
St. Louis Cardinals60.51
Texas Rangers60.21
Toronto Blue Jays60.21

Most-faced in this log is Kansas City Royals, 7 games at 0.3, best of 1. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.

Leo Rivas home runs

Leo Rivas has gone over 0.5 home runs in 4 of 95 logged games (4%).

  • Over 0.5 home runs: 4 of 95 (4%)

At home they average 0.0 over 54 games; away, 0.0 over 41.

Leo Rivas home runs: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Leo Rivas RBIs

Leo Rivas has gone over 0.5 RBIs in 13 of 95 logged games (14%).

  • Over 0.5 RBIs: 13 of 95 (14%)
  • Over 1.5 RBIs: 5 of 95 (5%)

At home they average 0.2 over 54 games; away, 0.2 over 41.

Leo Rivas RBIs: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Leo Rivas hits

Leo Rivas has gone over 0.5 hits in 29 of 95 logged games (31%).

  • Over 0.5 hits: 29 of 95 (31%)

At home they average 0.4 over 54 games; away, 0.3 over 41.

Leo Rivas hits: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Prop research for Leo Rivas of the Seattle Mariners. The books are currently pricing Home Runs, RBIs and Hits lines for Leo Rivas, and each one is scored the same way every prop on this site is: their own game log measured against the exact line on offer, shrunk toward a league prior so a hot fortnight cannot pass for an edge, then compared with the price. The game log and the splits below are measured history and are rebuilt daily; the lines and prices load live, because a MLB price printed into a page is wrong within the hour. None of it is a forecast of the next game.

How these numbers are made

Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.

Every figure on this page is counted from official MLB box scores, one row per game actually played — no projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.

Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins — this is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.

You must be 21+ (or older, where your jurisdiction sets a higher age) to bet. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.

How Parlay Builder scores props, in full

How to read a hit rate, and what its denominator hides

Common questions

What props are available for Leo Rivas today?

Whatever the books have priced — currently Home Runs, RBIs and Hits. The board on this page loads live rather than from a saved snapshot, so it reflects what is actually on offer now, with the best posted price across the major US sportsbooks against each line.

What is Leo Rivas's hit rate on their props?

It depends on the line, which is why this page shows a rate per prop rather than one number. Each is the share of logged games finishing above the exact line on offer, over the deepest window available, shrunk toward a league prior so a short sample cannot masquerade as a trend. The number of games behind every rate is printed beside it.

Does Leo Rivas perform differently at home?

The home and away splits on this page are measured from the same game log, so you can see the gap rather than assume one. Read them with the sample sizes next to them: a split measured over a handful of games each way is a difference you cannot distinguish from noise, and this page prints the denominator so you can tell.

Will Leo Rivas's prop hit tonight?

No one knows, and any MLB tool that says otherwise is selling you something. Every figure here is measured history against a current price, and history is not a forecast. Across roughly 96,000 graded props the model tracked the de-vigged consensus across five books to within the margin those books charge: historical testing showed calibration alone is not enough to overcome sportsbook pricing. What this page does is show you the sample behind every number in seconds.

How MLB prop markets behave, measured across the league

Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates, edges and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.