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With no line posted, over 63 MLB games since July 2026, Pete Alonso has gone over a balanced line of 0.5 home runs 19 times (30%), and over their last 10 they have done it 6 times (60%). They average 0.3 home runs across those 63 games. Their last 5 average 1.0, 186% above their 0.3 this season (63 games). These are measured box-score results from Baltimore Orioles games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Line | All 63 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 home runs | 19 of 63 (30%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 1.5 home runs | 3 of 63 (5%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Pete Alonso right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Pete Alonso has averaged 1.0 home runs over their last 5, 186% above their 0.3 across all 63 logged games.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1.0 home runs |
| Last 10 games | 0.8 home runs |
| All 63 logged games | 0.3 home runs |
| Best in the log | 2 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (28 games) | 0.4 home runs |
| Away (35 games) | 0.3 home runs |
Pete Alonso's highest in this log is 2 home runs against the New York Yankees on 2026-09-25, and the lowest is 0 against the New York Yankees on 2026-09-25. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 0.5 home runs |
|---|---|
| At home | 9 of 28 (32%) |
| On the road | 10 of 35 (29%) |
| On one day between games | 14 of 49 (29%) |
| On two or more days between games | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Against the Tampa Bay Rays | 3 of 7 (43%) |
| Against the Boston Red Sox | 1 of 7 (14%) |
| Against the Toronto Blue Jays | 3 of 6 (50%) |
| Against the New York Yankees | 2 of 5 (40%) |
Pete Alonso has cleared 0.5 home runs at much the same rate home and away, 32% against 29%.
Rest has suited them, 29% over 49 games on a single day between games against 50% over 10 with more.
Their deepest matchup sample is 7 games against the Tampa Bay Rays, 3 of them over 0.5 home runs.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Home Runs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | New York Yankees | Away | 0 |
| 2026-09-25 | New York Yankees | Away | 2 |
| 2026-09-23 | Toronto Blue Jays | Home | 0 |
| 2026-09-23 | Toronto Blue Jays | Home | 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | Toronto Blue Jays | Home | 2 |
| 2026-09-20 | Milwaukee Brewers | Home | 0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Milwaukee Brewers | Home | 0 |
| 2026-09-18 | Milwaukee Brewers | Home | 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | New York Mets | Away | 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | New York Mets | Away | 1 |
Pete Alonso of the Baltimore Orioles in home runs, measured from official MLB box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. There is no line and no price on this page because none is posted; when one is, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official MLB box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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There is none posted at the moment, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All Pete Alonso props and hit rates
How MLB prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.