This page is loading and it needs JavaScript. The written page below is served without it.
Over 45 logged NBA games, Aaron Nesmith has gone over 17.5 combined points and rebounds 23 times (51%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 18.0 combined points and rebounds across those 45 games. Their last 5 (19.2) are in line with that, so there is no recent move to read into. Against the New Orleans Pelicans in this log they have 1 game, averaging 16.0. These are measured box-score results from Indiana Pacers games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.
| Line | All 45 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 combined points and rebounds | 39 of 45 (87%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 13.5 combined points and rebounds | 31 of 45 (69%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 17.5 combined points and rebounds | 23 of 45 (51%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 21.5 combined points and rebounds | 13 of 45 (29%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 24.5 combined points and rebounds | 7 of 45 (16%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Aaron Nesmith right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Aaron Nesmith has averaged 19.2 combined points and rebounds over their last 5, against 18.0 across all 45 logged games — no meaningful move either way.
Aaron Nesmith's points + rebounds varies moderately, a standard deviation of 7.7 around 18.0. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 19.2 combined points and rebounds |
| Last 10 games | 20.2 combined points and rebounds |
| All 45 logged games | 18.0 combined points and rebounds |
| Best in the log | 37 |
| Worst in the log | 5 |
| Home (19 games) | 19.4 combined points and rebounds |
| Away (26 games) | 16.9 combined points and rebounds |
Aaron Nesmith's highest in this log is 37 combined points and rebounds against the Golden State Warriors on 2025-11-01, and the lowest is 5 against the LA Clippers on 2026-03-04. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 17.5 combined points and rebounds |
|---|---|
| At home | 11 of 19 (58%) |
| On the road | 12 of 26 (46%) |
Aaron Nesmith has cleared 17.5 combined points and rebounds 12 points more often at home, 58% in 19 home games against 46% in 26 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Aaron Nesmith has 1 logged game against the New Orleans Pelicans, averaging 16.0 combined points and rebounds with a high of 16. Most recent first, those games read 16. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points + Rebounds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | LA Clippers | Home | 33 |
| 2026-03-25 | Los Angeles Lakers | Home | 17 |
| 2026-03-23 | Orlando Magic | Away | 21 |
| 2026-03-21 | San Antonio Spurs | Away | 7 |
| 2026-03-18 | Portland Trail Blazers | Home | 18 |
| 2026-03-17 | New York Knicks | Away | 15 |
| 2026-03-15 | Milwaukee Bucks | Away | 34 |
| 2026-03-13 | New York Knicks | Home | 14 |
| 2026-03-10 | Sacramento Kings | Away | 33 |
| 2026-03-08 | Portland Trail Blazers | Away | 10 |
Every points + rebounds prop the books have posted for Aaron Nesmith of the Indiana Pacers, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
You must be 21+ (or older, where your jurisdiction sets a higher age) to bet. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Aaron Nesmith props and hit rates · Every NBA points + rebounds prop
How NBA prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.