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Over 56 NBA games since October 2025, Aaron Nesmith has gone over the posted 2.5 three-pointers 23 times (41%), and over their last 10 they have done it 3 times (30%). They average 2.2 three-pointers across those 56 games. Their last 5 average 2.0, 10% above their 1.8 this season (11 games). Against the Philadelphia 76ers in this log they have 2 games, averaging 1.5. These are measured box-score results from Indiana Pacers games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 1:10 PM ET, on the road against the Philadelphia 76ers. Last logged game November 13, 2 days before.
| Line | All 56 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 three-pointers | 49 of 56 (88%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 1.5 three-pointers | 35 of 56 (63%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 2.5 three-pointers | 23 of 56 (41%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 3.5 three-pointers | 11 of 56 (20%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 4.5 three-pointers | 5 of 56 (9%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Aaron Nesmith right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Aaron Nesmith has averaged 2.0 three-pointers over their last 5, 10% below their 2.2 across all 56 logged games.
Aaron Nesmith's 3-pointers made vary moderately, a standard deviation of 1.6 around 2.2. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2.0 three-pointers |
| Last 10 games | 1.9 three-pointers |
| All 56 logged games | 2.2 three-pointers |
| Best in the log | 7 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (24 games) | 2.0 three-pointers |
| Away (32 games) | 2.4 three-pointers |
Aaron Nesmith's highest in this log is 7 three-pointers against the Milwaukee Bucks on 2026-03-15, and the lowest is 0 against the Washington Wizards on 2026-11-11. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 2.5 three-pointers |
|---|---|
| At home | 8 of 24 (33%) |
| On the road | 15 of 32 (47%) |
Aaron Nesmith has cleared 2.5 three-pointers 14 points more often on the road, 33% in 24 home games against 47% in 32 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Aaron Nesmith has 2 logged games against the Philadelphia 76ers, averaging 1.5 three-pointers with a high of 3. Most recent first, those games read 3, 0. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | 3-Pointers Made |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | New York Knicks | Home | 2 |
| 2026-11-11 | Washington Wizards | Home | 0 |
| 2026-11-09 | Dallas Mavericks | Away | 4 |
| 2026-11-07 | Denver Nuggets | Away | 2 |
| 2026-11-04 | Memphis Grizzlies | Away | 2 |
| 2026-11-01 | Brooklyn Nets | Home | 0 |
| 2026-10-30 | Miami Heat | Away | 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | Philadelphia 76ers | Home | 3 |
| 2026-10-26 | Milwaukee Bucks | Away | 3 |
| 2026-10-25 | Brooklyn Nets | Away | 2 |
Every 3-pointers made prop the books have posted for Aaron Nesmith of the Indiana Pacers, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Aaron Nesmith props and hit rates · Every NBA 3-pointers made prop
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