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With no line posted, over 38 NBA games since October 2025, Jimmy Butler III has gone over a balanced line of 4.5 assists 20 times (53%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 4.9 assists across those 38 games. Their last 5 (5.0) are in line with their 4.9 this season (38 games), so there is no recent move to read into. These are measured box-score results from Golden State Warriors games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Line | All 38 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 assists | 32 of 38 (84%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 3.5 assists | 28 of 38 (74%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 4.5 assists | 20 of 38 (53%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 5.5 assists | 13 of 38 (34%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 7.5 assists | 4 of 38 (11%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Jimmy Butler III right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Jimmy Butler III has averaged 5.0 assists over their last 5, against 4.9 across all 38 logged games, no meaningful move either way.
Jimmy Butler III's assists vary moderately, a standard deviation of 2.2 around 4.9. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5.0 assists |
| Last 10 games | 4.8 assists |
| All 38 logged games | 4.9 assists |
| Best in the log | 10 |
| Worst in the log | 1 |
| Home (21 games) | 5.1 assists |
| Away (17 games) | 4.5 assists |
Jimmy Butler III's highest in this log is 10 assists against the New Orleans Pelicans on 2025-11-29, and the lowest is 1 against the Oklahoma City Thunder on 2025-12-02. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 4.5 assists |
|---|---|
| At home | 14 of 21 (67%) |
| On the road | 6 of 17 (35%) |
Jimmy Butler III has cleared 4.5 assists 32 points more often at home, 67% in 21 home games against 35% in 17 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Miami Heat | Home | 4 |
| 2026-01-15 | New York Knicks | Home | 4 |
| 2026-01-13 | Portland Trail Blazers | Home | 5 |
| 2026-01-11 | Atlanta Hawks | Home | 6 |
| 2026-01-09 | Sacramento Kings | Home | 6 |
| 2026-01-07 | Milwaukee Bucks | Home | 3 |
| 2026-01-05 | LA Clippers | Away | 2 |
| 2026-01-03 | Utah Jazz | Home | 7 |
| 2025-12-31 | Charlotte Hornets | Away | 7 |
| 2025-12-29 | Brooklyn Nets | Away | 4 |
Jimmy Butler III of the Golden State Warriors in assists, measured from official NBA box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. No line or price is printed on this page; when the board carries one, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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None is printed on this page, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All Jimmy Butler III props and hit rates · Every NBA assists prop
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Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.