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Over 16 logged NFL games, Tim Patrick has gone over 4.5 receiving yards 9 times (56%), and over their last 10 they have done it 6 times (60%). They average 14.3 receiving yards across those 16 games. Their last 5 average 9.0, 37% below their 14.3 across the full log. These are measured box-score results from New York Jets games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.
| Line | All 16 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 receiving yards | 10 of 16 (63%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 1.5 receiving yards | 10 of 16 (63%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 4.5 receiving yards | 9 of 16 (56%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 16.5 receiving yards | 5 of 16 (31%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 22.5 receiving yards | 3 of 16 (19%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Tim Patrick right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Tim Patrick has averaged 9.0 receiving yards over their last 5, 37% below their 14.3 across all 16 logged games.
Tim Patrick's receiving yards swings widely: a standard deviation of 19.1 on a 14.3 average. A wide spread means the average describes the middle of a broad range rather than a typical night.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 9.0 receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 16.5 receiving yards |
| All 16 logged games | 14.3 receiving yards |
| Best in the log | 78 |
| Worst in the log | -1 |
| Home (9 games) | 19.9 receiving yards |
| Away (6 games) | 7.5 receiving yards |
Tim Patrick's highest in this log is 78 receiving yards against the Indianapolis Colts on 2025-12-07, and the lowest is -1 against the San Francisco 49ers on 2025-09-28. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 4.5 receiving yards |
|---|---|
| At home | 6 of 9 (67%) |
| On the road | 3 of 6 (50%) |
Tim Patrick has cleared 4.5 receiving yards 17 points more often at home, 67% in 9 home games against 50% in 6 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | New England Patriots | Away | 15 |
| 2026-10-11 | Cleveland Browns | Home | 26 |
| 2026-01-11 | Buffalo Bills | Home | 0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Tennessee Titans | — | 4 |
| 2025-12-28 | Indianapolis Colts | Home | 0 |
| 2025-12-21 | Denver Broncos | Away | 11 |
| 2025-12-07 | Indianapolis Colts | Home | 78 |
| 2025-11-30 | Tennessee Titans | Home | 11 |
| 2025-11-23 | Arizona Cardinals | Away | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Los Angeles Chargers | Away | 20 |
Tim Patrick of the New York Jets in receiving yards, measured from official NFL box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. No line or price is printed on this page; when the board carries one, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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None is printed on this page, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All Tim Patrick props and hit rates
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.