NFL prop insights, market by market

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317 NFL players carry at least 10 logged games in a prop market here, across 13 markets and 30124 measured player-games. Receptions is the widest field, with 279 measurable players and a median coin-flip line of 1.5. The window is the 400 days to 2026-11-12, which is what the box scores currently reach back to for this league. These are records of games that have been played. Nothing here forecasts the next one, and no price is quoted, because prices move through the day and this page is rebuilt once.

Measured as of 2026-11-15, rebuilt daily from official box scores. Window: 2025-10-12 to 2026-11-12. No prices appear on this page.

Every NFL market measured here

One row per market. "Median player" is the middle of the measured field, not an average of averages, and the coin-flip column is the median of each player’s own most balanced threshold, so it describes a typical line in this market rather than any line on offer.

NFL prop markets: the measured field
MarketPlayers measuredLogged player-gamesUnique gamesMedian playerMedian coin-flip line
Receptions27946403432.3 receptionsOver 1.5
Targets27946403433.3 targetsOver 2.5
Receiving Yards278463034323.6 receiving yardsOver 16.5
Anytime Touchdown1923473343——
Rush Attempts17430123433.4 carriesOver 2.5
Rushing Yards164283434317.8 rushing yardsOver 10.5
Receiving TDs13324343430.3 receiving touchdownsOver 0.5
Rushing TDs7213143430.3 rushing touchdownsOver 0.5
Pass Attempts3864133729.5 pass attemptsOver 29.5
Completions3762933719.6 completionsOver 18.5
Passing TDs376293371.4 passing touchdownsOver 1.5
Passing Yards37629337216.8 passing yardsOver 213.5
Interceptions366193360.6 interceptionsOver 0.5

What the NFL field is made of

The NFL field is the smallest here, and it is small for a structural reason: a season is 17 games, and the minimum logged games these pages require is a much larger share of one than it is in any other league. A player has to have been a starter for most of a season to appear at all, which is why the field is measured in dozens rather than hundreds.

It is also the league where position decides the market. Only a handful of players per club take a meaningful share of the passing, rushing or receiving volume, so a passing market’s field is roughly one player per team while a receiving market’s is three or four. A field of that size still describes the market, but it describes the starters rather than the league, and the player counts printed in the table are the honest way to see which one you are reading.

Because an NFL log is short, a median built from it moves more between rebuilds than a basketball or baseball median does. One week of games is a meaningful share of every player’s sample at once.

Common questions

What do these NFL insights measure?

Official box scores, one row per game actually played, summarised per player and per market. No projections, no adjustments, and no prices. Every page under this one is about how a market has behaved rather than about what is on offer tonight.

Do these NFL pages work in the off-season?

Yes, and that is most of why they exist. A game log does not stop being true when the season ends; it stops being added to. These pages are rebuilt daily from whatever the box scores currently reach back to, and they say what window that is.

Where are the NFL odds and hit rates against the line?

On the prop pages, which load live prices in the browser. Anything measured against a posted line belongs there rather than here: a cached page cannot correct a price, and a stale one is worse than none.

NFL player props and live odds

Today’s ranked NFL shortlist, from this same measured history

Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.