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With no line posted, over 42 WNBA games since May 2026, Alyssa Thomas has gone over a balanced line of 15.5 points 22 times (52%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 14.3 points across those 42 games. Their last 5 average 12.4, 13% below their 14.3 this season (42 games). These are measured box-score results from Phoenix Mercury games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Line | All 42 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 points | 35 of 42 (83%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 9.5 points | 31 of 42 (74%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 15.5 points | 22 of 42 (52%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 18.5 points | 13 of 42 (31%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 19.5 points | 7 of 42 (17%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Alyssa Thomas right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Alyssa Thomas has averaged 12.4 points over their last 5, 13% below their 14.3 across all 42 logged games.
Alyssa Thomas's points vary moderately, a standard deviation of 5.8 around 14.3. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 12.4 points |
| Last 10 games | 12.6 points |
| All 42 logged games | 14.3 points |
| Best in the log | 25 |
| Worst in the log | 4 |
| Home (22 games) | 12.8 points |
| Away (20 games) | 15.8 points |
Alyssa Thomas's highest in this log is 25 points against the GSV on 2026-07-29, and the lowest is 4 against the TOR on 2026-08-29. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 15.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 9 of 22 (41%) |
| On the road | 13 of 20 (65%) |
Alyssa Thomas has cleared 15.5 points 24 points more often on the road, 41% in 22 home games against 65% in 20 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Las Vegas Aces | Home | 6 |
| 2026-09-21 | Dallas Wings | Home | 15 |
| 2026-09-19 | Dallas Wings | Away | 19 |
| 2026-09-17 | PDX | Away | 18 |
| 2026-08-29 | TOR | Home | 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | Washington Mystics | Home | 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Washington Mystics | Home | 16 |
| 2026-08-22 | Atlanta Dream | Home | 11 |
| 2026-08-16 | PDX | Home | 17 |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Sparks | Away | 16 |
Alyssa Thomas of the Phoenix Mercury in points, measured from official WNBA box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. There is no line and no price on this page because none is posted; when one is, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official WNBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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There is none posted at the moment, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All Alyssa Thomas props and hit rates
How WNBA prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.