Ariel Atkins Points props

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Over 47 logged WNBA games, Ariel Atkins has gone over 8.5 points 25 times (53%), and over their last 10 they have done it 3 times (30%). They average 9.3 points across those 47 games. Their last 5 average 5.6, 40% below their 9.3 across the full log. They have gone under 8.5 in each of their last 3. These are measured box-score results from Los Angeles Sparks games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.

Measured history as of 2026-09-20. Rebuilt daily; lines and prices load live.

How often does Ariel Atkins go over each points line?

Ariel Atkins — points hit rate by line, from official box scores
LineAll 47Last 10Last 5
Over 6.5 points32 of 47 (68%)3 of 10 (30%)1 of 5 (20%)
Over 8.5 points25 of 47 (53%)3 of 10 (30%)1 of 5 (20%)
Over 10.5 points15 of 47 (32%)0 of 10 (0%)0 of 5 (0%)

These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Ariel Atkins right now — the live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.

Ariel Atkins is trending down

Ariel Atkins has averaged 5.6 points over their last 5, 40% below their 9.3 across all 47 logged games.

Ariel Atkins's points varies moderately, a standard deviation of 5.4 around 9.3. That is an ordinary spread for this market.

Ariel Atkins — points by window and venue
WindowAverage
Last 5 games5.6 points
Last 10 games5.5 points
All 47 logged games9.3 points
Best in the log30
Worst in the log0
Home (22 games)10.5 points
Away (25 games)8.4 points

Ariel Atkins points game log

Ariel Atkins — last 10 logged games, points
DateOpponentVenuePoints
2026-09-17Dallas WingsAway4
2026-08-30Seattle StormAway4
2026-08-28Washington MysticsHome4
2026-08-24Atlanta DreamHome10
2026-08-22Connecticut SunHome6
2026-08-20Atlanta DreamHome9
2026-08-18Connecticut SunAway9
2026-08-15Washington MysticsAway1
2026-08-13New York LibertyAway3
2026-08-11PHXHome5

Every points prop the books have posted for Ariel Atkins of the Los Angeles Sparks, with the WNBA game log the number is drawn from. The history below — game by game, split home and away — is measured from official box scores and rebuilt daily. The line and the price load live rather than being printed here, because they change through the day. What the page will not do is tell you the bet wins: it shows you the sample and the price and stops there.

How these numbers are made

Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.

Every figure on this page is counted from official WNBA box scores, one row per game actually played — no projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.

Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins — this is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.

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How Parlay Builder scores props, in full

How to read a hit rate, and what its denominator hides

Common questions

What is Ariel Atkins's points line tonight?

It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.

How often does Ariel Atkins go over their points line?

The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below, and shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin that sample is. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.

Is Ariel Atkins a good points prop bet?

That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar with a positive shrunk estimate at the current price, at least ten games behind the rate, a B− grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.

Where does the WNBA points history on this page come from?

Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they actually played.

All Ariel Atkins props and hit rates · Every WNBA points prop

How WNBA prop markets behave, measured across the league

Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates, edges and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.