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278 of 833 NBA props posted for games not yet started clear the hit rate and sample floors. 10 are ranked below as of 2026-11-15. Ordered like the board, without its matchup bump. Ranked by hit rate, weighted by sample: 55% over 200 games ranks above 58% over 12; 9 or 10 of the last 10, or 7 straight, ranks a little higher. Prices from −300 to +250 come first. It describes games already played, not a forecast. The deepest record on the list is Reed Sheppard’s, at 98 logged games. Every row shows the games behind it, because a rate without a denominator is not evidence.
Ranked highest first. The last two columns are counted from official box scores and are rebuilt daily; the balanced threshold is measured from the player’s own distribution, not read off a book, and it is stated as an over in every row whichever side is ranked. No price appears in this table. Prices move through the day and load live below. The order is the board’s without its matchup bump, so it can differ from the full board.
| # | Player | Game | Prop | Logged games | Average | At a balanced line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brayden Burries | Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks | Under 3-pointers made | 13 | 0.8 three-pointers | 10 of 13 over 0.5 (77%) |
| 2 | Coby White | Charlotte Hornets @ Los Angeles Clippers | Under assists | 57 | 3.9 assists | 28 of 57 over 3.5 (49%) |
| 3 | Reed Sheppard | Houston Rockets @ Washington Wizards | Under points | 98 | 13.0 points | 48 of 98 over 12.5 (49%) |
| 4 | Reed Sheppard | Houston Rockets @ Washington Wizards | Under points + rebounds + assists | 98 | 19.0 combined points, rebounds and assists | 51 of 98 over 17.5 (52%) |
| 5 | Devin Booker | Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Lakers | Over 3-pointers made | 81 | 1.9 three-pointers | 46 of 81 over 1.5 (57%) |
| 6 | Aaron Wiggins | Atlanta Hawks @ Milwaukee Bucks | Over 3-pointers made | 91 | 1.5 three-pointers | 36 of 91 over 1.5 (40%) |
| 7 | Amen Thompson | Houston Rockets @ Washington Wizards | Under assists | 98 | 5.0 assists | 51 of 98 over 4.5 (52%) |
| 8 | Brayden Burries | Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks | Under points + rebounds + assists | 13 | 16.5 combined points, rebounds and assists | 8 of 13 over 14.5 (62%) |
| 9 | Dyson Daniels | Atlanta Hawks @ Milwaukee Bucks | Under 3-pointers made | 95 | 0.3 three-pointers | 24 of 95 over 0.5 (25%) |
| 10 | Kyshawn George | Washington Wizards vs Houston Rockets | Over 3-pointers made | 61 | 2.1 three-pointers | 25 of 61 over 2.5 (41%) |
The next scheduled NBA game is 2026-11-15. The most recent game in the box scores is 2026-11-14. Books post player props for a specific game somewhere between the evening before and a few hours before it starts, so a league can be firmly in season and still show an empty board in the morning.
542 NBA players have a deep enough game log for this site to measure them, counted from 32,390 logged player-games, one player in one game. The deepest fields are Points (542), Points + Assists (542), Points + Rebounds (542). Measured over games played between 2025-10-21 and 2026-11-14.
Basketball is a three-or-four-game week, so the ten-game floor is about three weeks of a player’s season. A rested star and a player on the second night of a back-to-back are both in that window, which is why the splits on a player page print their own game counts. The floor itself is the same everywhere on this site: 10 logged games before a prop can be ranked at all, because a rate over fewer games than that admits too few values to separate a real gap from a run of luck.
This page ranks the NBA player props the books have posted for games not yet started, by how often each player has cleared the line, weighted by how many games that rate rests on. It is rebuilt once a day and it says the date it was built. It is one address that stays the same all year, in season, out of season, and on the mornings before the books have opened a single market.
The ones ranked highest on this page, among props posted for games not yet started. Ordered like the board, without its matchup bump. Ranked by hit rate, weighted by sample: 55% over 200 games ranks above 58% over 12; 9 or 10 of the last 10, or 7 straight, ranks a little higher. Prices from −300 to +250 come first. It describes games already played, not a forecast. The ranking is dated at the top of the page and the live board beneath it carries the prices and the books. Nothing here is a recommendation to place a bet.
Ordered like the board, without its matchup bump. Ranked by hit rate, weighted by sample: 55% over 200 games ranks above 58% over 12; 9 or 10 of the last 10, or 7 straight, ranks a little higher. Prices from −300 to +250 come first. It describes games already played, not a forecast. Only props with 10 or more logged games and a hit rate of 55% or better are ranked, the live board’s own floors, because a hit rate over fewer games than that cannot separate a real pattern from a run of luck. Basketball is a three-or-four-game week, so the ten-game floor is about three weeks of a player’s season.
Because the board moved. Books repost lines, pull them and reprice them all day, and a prop whose price has changed is a different prop from the one that was ranked. The page is rebuilt daily and states the date it was built; the live board underneath it is re-read every time the page loads.
No. Every figure here is measured history and an estimate derived from it, and past performance does not predict future results. Parlay Builder is research: it does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets, and it promises no outcome.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine. Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
How Parlay Builder scores props, in full
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Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.