Brayden Burries player props and hit rates

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Over 13 NBA games since October 2026, Brayden Burries has gone over the posted 11.5 points 4 times (31%), and over their last 10 they have done it 3 times (30%). They average 9.2 points across those 13 games. Their last 5 (9.6) are in line with their 9.2 this season (13 games), so there is no recent move to read into. They have gone under 11.5 in each of their last 3. These are measured box-score results from Milwaukee Bucks games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.

Data through Nov 13, 2026.

Brayden Burries next game

Sunday, November 15, 8:10 PM ET, at home against the Atlanta Hawks. Last logged game November 13, 2 days before.

Every market Brayden Burries is priced in

Brayden Burries: measured history by market
MarketLogged gamesAverageMost balanced lineHit rate there
3-Pointers Made130.8 three-pointersOver 0.510 of 13 (77%)
Rebounds135.2 reboundsOver 4.58 of 13 (62%)
Assists132.2 assistsOver 1.57 of 13 (54%)
Points + Rebounds + Assists1316.5 combined points, rebounds and assistsOver 14.58 of 13 (62%)
Points139.2 pointsOver 9.56 of 13 (46%)

Brayden Burries line ladder by market

Brayden Burries: how often each line was cleared, lines set from the player's own log
MarketLineAll loggedLast 10
3-Pointers MadeOver 0.510 of 13 (77%)7 of 10 (70%)
3-Pointers MadeOver 1.51 of 13 (8%)0 of 10 (0%)
ReboundsOver 3.59 of 13 (69%)7 of 10 (70%)
ReboundsOver 4.58 of 13 (62%)6 of 10 (60%)
ReboundsOver 5.54 of 13 (31%)4 of 10 (40%)
AssistsOver 1.57 of 13 (54%)5 of 10 (50%)
AssistsOver 2.56 of 13 (46%)5 of 10 (50%)
AssistsOver 3.52 of 13 (15%)2 of 10 (20%)
Points + Rebounds + AssistsOver 10.59 of 13 (69%)7 of 10 (70%)
Points + Rebounds + AssistsOver 14.58 of 13 (62%)6 of 10 (60%)
Points + Rebounds + AssistsOver 17.54 of 13 (31%)4 of 10 (40%)
PointsOver 4.59 of 13 (69%)7 of 10 (70%)
PointsOver 9.56 of 13 (46%)4 of 10 (40%)
PointsOver 10.54 of 13 (31%)3 of 10 (30%)

Brayden Burries's last 8 games, market by market

Every market Brayden Burries is currently priced in, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.

Brayden Burries: recent games across every priced market
DateOpponentVenue3-Pointers MadeReboundsAssistsPoints + Rebounds + AssistsPoints
2026-11-13Orlando MagicAway143103
2026-11-11Los Angeles LakersHome151148
2026-11-10New York KnicksAway13393
2026-11-08Boston CelticsHome1842513
2026-11-06Toronto RaptorsHome11163821
2026-11-04Boston CelticsAway053179
2026-11-02Minnesota TimberwolvesAway191199
2026-10-31Cleveland CavaliersHome1311814

Brayden Burries points: the shape of the log

Counted from the same 13 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.

Where Brayden Burries's points have landed

Brayden Burries: points by percentile over 13 logged games
PercentilePoints
Lowest logged game3
25th percentile4
Median9
75th percentile12
Highest logged game21

7 of 13 games (54%) landed between 4 and 12; 8 (62%) finished at or above the 9 median, and the spread from 3 to 21 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Brayden Burries actually recorded.

Against their own 9 median rather than a posted line, Brayden Burries's longest run at or above it is 6 games and the run open at the newest of the 13 is 0. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.

Which Brayden Burries line moves least

Brayden Burries: game to game spread by market, from official box scores
MarketAverageSpreadReads asGames
points + rebounds + assists16.58.0mixed13
rebounds5.22.7mixed13
points9.25.0mixed13
assists2.21.6volatile13

Their points + rebounds + assists is the steadiest of the 4 markets measured here, averaging 16.5 with a spread of 8.0; their assists swings most, 2.2 with a spread of 1.6. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.

Brayden Burries 3-pointers made

Brayden Burries has gone over 0.5 three-pointers in 10 of 13 logged games (77%).

  • Over 0.5 three-pointers: 10 of 13 (77%)
  • Over 1.5 three-pointers: 1 of 13 (8%)

At home they average 0.7 over 7 games; away, 1.0 over 6.

Brayden Burries 3-pointers made: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Brayden Burries rebounds

Brayden Burries has gone over 4.5 rebounds in 8 of 13 logged games (62%).

  • Over 3.5 rebounds: 9 of 13 (69%)
  • Over 4.5 rebounds: 8 of 13 (62%)
  • Over 5.5 rebounds: 4 of 13 (31%)

At home they average 5.1 over 7 games; away, 5.2 over 6.

Brayden Burries rebounds: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Brayden Burries assists

Brayden Burries has gone over 1.5 assists in 7 of 13 logged games (54%).

  • Over 1.5 assists: 7 of 13 (54%)
  • Over 2.5 assists: 6 of 13 (46%)
  • Over 3.5 assists: 2 of 13 (15%)

At home they average 2.4 over 7 games; away, 2.0 over 6.

Brayden Burries assists: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Brayden Burries points + rebounds + assists

Brayden Burries has gone over 14.5 combined points, rebounds and assists in 8 of 13 logged games (62%).

  • Over 10.5 combined points, rebounds and assists: 9 of 13 (69%)
  • Over 14.5 combined points, rebounds and assists: 8 of 13 (62%)
  • Over 17.5 combined points, rebounds and assists: 4 of 13 (31%)

At home they average 18.0 over 7 games; away, 14.8 over 6.

Brayden Burries points + rebounds + assists: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Brayden Burries points

Brayden Burries has gone over 9.5 points in 6 of 13 logged games (46%).

  • Over 4.5 points: 9 of 13 (69%)
  • Over 9.5 points: 6 of 13 (46%)
  • Over 10.5 points: 4 of 13 (31%)

At home they average 10.4 over 7 games; away, 7.7 over 6.

Brayden Burries points: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Prop research for Brayden Burries of the Milwaukee Bucks. The books are currently pricing 3-Pointers Made, Rebounds, Assists, Points + Rebounds + Assists and Points lines for Brayden Burries, and each one is scored the same way every prop on this site is: their own game log measured against the exact line on offer, then compared with the price after a short record is pulled toward that price, so a hot fortnight cannot pass for a gap over it. The game log and the splits below are measured history and are rebuilt daily; the lines and prices load live, because an NBA price printed into a page is wrong within the hour. None of it is a forecast of the next game.

How these numbers are made

Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.

Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.

Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.

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How Parlay Builder scores props, in full

How to read a hit rate, and what its denominator hides

Common questions

What props are available for Brayden Burries today?

Whatever the books have priced: currently 3-Pointers Made, Rebounds, Assists, Points + Rebounds + Assists and Points. The board on this page loads live rather than from a saved snapshot, so it reflects what is actually on offer now, with the best posted price across the major US sportsbooks against each line.

What is Brayden Burries's hit rate on their props?

It depends on the line, which is why this page shows a rate per prop rather than one number. Each is the share of logged games finishing above the exact line on offer, over the deepest window available, and pulled toward the price before it is compared with it, so a short sample cannot masquerade as a trend. The number of games behind every rate is printed beside it.

Does Brayden Burries perform differently at home?

The home and away splits on this page are measured from the same game log, so you can see the gap rather than assume one. Read them with the sample sizes next to them: a split measured over a handful of games each way is a difference you cannot distinguish from noise, and this page prints the denominator so you can tell.

Will Brayden Burries's prop hit in their next game?

No one knows, and any NBA tool that says otherwise is selling you something. Every figure here is measured history against a current price, and history is not a forecast. Across roughly 96,000 graded props the model tracked the de-vigged consensus across five books to within the margin those books charge: historical testing showed calibration alone is not enough to overcome sportsbook pricing. What this page does is show you the sample behind every number in seconds.

How NBA prop markets behave, measured across the league

Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.