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198 of 481 NFL props posted for games not yet started clear the hit rate and sample floors. 10 are ranked below as of 2026-11-15. Ordered like the board, without its matchup bump. Ranked by hit rate, weighted by sample: 55% over 200 games ranks above 58% over 12; 9 or 10 of the last 10, or 7 straight, ranks a little higher. Prices from −300 to +250 come first. It describes games already played, not a forecast. The deepest record on the list is Trey McBride’s, at 21 logged games. Every row shows the games behind it, because a rate without a denominator is not evidence.
Ranked highest first. The last two columns are counted from official box scores and are rebuilt daily; the balanced threshold is measured from the player’s own distribution, not read off a book, and it is stated as an over in every row whichever side is ranked. No price appears in this table. Prices move through the day and load live below. The order is the board’s without its matchup bump, so it can differ from the full board.
| # | Player | Game | Prop | Logged games | Average | At a balanced line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Jones | Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins | Under passing tds | 17 | 1.1 passing touchdowns | 5 of 17 over 1.5 (29%) |
| 2 | Drew Sample | Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers | Over receptions | 11 | 1.6 receptions | 5 of 11 over 1.5 (45%) |
| 3 | Trey McBride | Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams | Over receptions | 21 | 8.1 receptions | 10 of 21 over 8.5 (48%) |
| 4 | Daniel Jones | Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins | Over interceptions | 17 | 0.9 interceptions | 12 of 17 over 0.5 (71%) |
| 5 | Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings | Over passing tds | 21 | 1.8 passing touchdowns | 13 of 21 over 1.5 (62%) |
| 6 | Jordan Mason | Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers | Under receptions | 15 | 0.5 receptions | 6 of 15 over 0.5 (40%) |
| 7 | Justin Herbert | Los Angeles Chargers @ Baltimore Ravens | Over interceptions | 20 | 1.0 interceptions | 16 of 20 over 0.5 (80%) |
| 8 | Konata Mumpfield | Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals | Under receptions | 20 | 1.2 receptions | 7 of 20 over 1.5 (35%) |
| 9 | Mason Taylor | New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills | Over receptions | 14 | 3.0 receptions | 9 of 14 over 2.5 (64%) |
| 10 | Michael Mayer | Las Vegas Raiders vs Seattle Seahawks | Over receptions | 18 | 3.8 receptions | 6 of 18 over 3.5 (33%) |
The next scheduled NFL game is 2026-11-15. The most recent game in the box scores is 2026-11-12. Books post player props for a specific game somewhere between the evening before and a few hours before it starts, so a league can be firmly in season and still show an empty board in the morning.
317 NFL players have a deep enough game log for this site to measure them, counted from 5,282 logged player-games, one player in one game. The deepest fields are Receptions (279), Targets (279), Receiving Yards (278). Measured over games played between 2025-10-12 and 2026-11-12.
Football is one game a week, so the ten-game floor is most of a season and spans over two months of calendar. That is why an NFL page ranks fewer props than a basketball one on a comparable slate: fewer players clear a floor that takes half a year to reach, and a rate here is measured over games that are genuinely far apart. The floor itself is the same everywhere on this site: 10 logged games before a prop can be ranked at all, because a rate over fewer games than that admits too few values to separate a real gap from a run of luck.
This page ranks the NFL player props the books have posted for games not yet started, by how often each player has cleared the line, weighted by how many games that rate rests on. It is rebuilt once a day and it says the date it was built. It is one address that stays the same all year, in season, out of season, and on the mornings before the books have opened a single market.
The ones ranked highest on this page, among props posted for games not yet started. Ordered like the board, without its matchup bump. Ranked by hit rate, weighted by sample: 55% over 200 games ranks above 58% over 12; 9 or 10 of the last 10, or 7 straight, ranks a little higher. Prices from −300 to +250 come first. It describes games already played, not a forecast. The ranking is dated at the top of the page and the live board beneath it carries the prices and the books. Nothing here is a recommendation to place a bet.
Ordered like the board, without its matchup bump. Ranked by hit rate, weighted by sample: 55% over 200 games ranks above 58% over 12; 9 or 10 of the last 10, or 7 straight, ranks a little higher. Prices from −300 to +250 come first. It describes games already played, not a forecast. Only props with 10 or more logged games and a hit rate of 55% or better are ranked, the live board’s own floors, because a hit rate over fewer games than that cannot separate a real pattern from a run of luck. Football is one game a week, so the ten-game floor is most of a season and spans over two months of calendar.
Because the board moved. Books repost lines, pull them and reprice them all day, and a prop whose price has changed is a different prop from the one that was ranked. The page is rebuilt daily and states the date it was built; the live board underneath it is re-read every time the page loads.
No. Every figure here is measured history and an estimate derived from it, and past performance does not predict future results. Parlay Builder is research: it does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets, and it promises no outcome.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine. Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
How Parlay Builder scores props, in full
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Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.