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Across 214 WNBA players with at least 10 logged games in points, this page measures 7717 games in total. The median player in that field averages 6.7 points. The line closest to a coin flip sits at 5.5 for the median of the 214 players whose distribution supports one — half the field is more often over it, half more often under. The deepest sample here is Alyssa Thomas, with 63 logged games. Of the 211 players whose spread can be measured, 12 cluster tightly around their average, 95 vary moderately and 104 swing widely. 214 of them have at least three games home and away, so the venue gap below is measured rather than assumed. Every figure is counted from official box scores and describes games already played. It is not a projection, and on its own it says nothing about whether any price on offer is worth taking.
Each player's own most balanced threshold — the half-point line he has finished above in closest to half his logged games — measured from his distribution rather than read off a book. Deepest sample first, not best to worst. The 40 deepest samples of 214 measured; the figures above this table are over all 214.
| Player | Club | Logged games | Average | Balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Thomas | Mercury | 63 | 14.7 points | Over 15.5 | 31 of 63 (49%) |
| Chelsea Gray | Aces | 62 | 11.6 points | Over 11.5 | 34 of 62 (55%) |
| DeWanna Bonner | Dream | 62 | 9.9 points | Over 9.5 | 32 of 62 (52%) |
| Jackie Young | Aces | 62 | 18.8 points | Over 19.5 | 30 of 62 (48%) |
| Jewell Loyd | Aces | 61 | 8.3 points | Over 7.5 | 32 of 61 (52%) |
| Kahleah Copper | Mercury | 61 | 19.6 points | Over 18.5 | 30 of 61 (49%) |
| A'ja Wilson | Aces | 60 | 26.4 points | Over 26.5 | 31 of 60 (52%) |
| Kelsey Mitchell | Fever | 59 | 24.2 points | Over 24.5 | 31 of 59 (53%) |
| Kiah Stokes | Valkyries | 59 | 2.5 points | Over 1.5 | 33 of 59 (56%) |
| Lexie Hull | Fever | 59 | 6.7 points | Over 6.5 | 29 of 59 (49%) |
| NaLyssa Smith | Aces | 59 | 10.4 points | Over 9.5 | 30 of 59 (51%) |
| Natasha Howard | Lynx | 59 | 13.4 points | Over 12.5 | 31 of 59 (53%) |
| Courtney Williams | Lynx | 58 | 14.1 points | Over 13.5 | 31 of 58 (53%) |
| Jessica Shepard | Wings | 58 | 12.4 points | Over 12.5 | 30 of 58 (52%) |
| Kayla McBride | Lynx | 58 | 17.2 points | Over 16.5 | 30 of 58 (52%) |
| Bridget Carleton | Fire | 57 | 11.5 points | Over 11.5 | 29 of 57 (51%) |
| Natasha Mack | Mercury | 57 | 6.9 points | Over 6.5 | 29 of 57 (51%) |
| Brianna Turner | Aces | 56 | 1.8 points | Over 1.5 | 32 of 56 (57%) |
| Natisha Hiedeman | Storm | 56 | 13.7 points | Over 14.5 | 29 of 56 (52%) |
| Aliyah Boston | Fever | 55 | 15.6 points | Over 14.5 | 28 of 55 (51%) |
| Kaila Charles | Valkyries | 55 | 6.8 points | Over 6.5 | 27 of 55 (49%) |
| Makayla Timpson | Fever | 55 | 4.6 points | Over 3.5 | 28 of 55 (51%) |
| Maya Caldwell | Lynx | 55 | 4.6 points | Over 4.5 | 27 of 55 (49%) |
| Naz Hillmon | Dream | 55 | 9.1 points | Over 7.5 | 29 of 55 (53%) |
| Rhyne Howard | Dream | 55 | 18.1 points | Over 18.5 | 28 of 55 (51%) |
| Veronica Burton | Valkyries | 55 | 12.5 points | Over 12.5 | 26 of 55 (47%) |
| Allisha Gray | Dream | 54 | 18.5 points | Over 17.5 | 29 of 54 (54%) |
| Nia Coffey | Lynx | 54 | 5.5 points | Over 4.5 | 27 of 54 (50%) |
| Emily Engstler | Fire | 53 | 8.7 points | Over 8.5 | 26 of 53 (49%) |
| Erica Wheeler | Sparks | 53 | 9.1 points | Over 9.5 | 26 of 53 (49%) |
| Jonquel Jones | Liberty | 53 | 13.7 points | Over 13.5 | 30 of 53 (57%) |
| Nneka Ogwumike | Sparks | 53 | 17.4 points | Over 17.5 | 27 of 53 (51%) |
| Dearica Hamby | Sparks | 52 | 15.7 points | Over 15.5 | 25 of 52 (48%) |
| Elizabeth Williams | Sky | 52 | 5.6 points | Over 4.5 | 28 of 52 (54%) |
| Kamilla Cardoso | Sky | 52 | 14.8 points | Over 13.5 | 27 of 52 (52%) |
| Lexi Held | Mercury | 52 | 4.7 points | Over 2.5 | 30 of 52 (58%) |
| Natasha Cloud | Sky | 52 | 11.1 points | Over 10.5 | 26 of 52 (50%) |
| Stefanie Dolson | Storm | 52 | 3.4 points | Over 2.5 | 26 of 52 (50%) |
| Stephanie Talbot | Aces | 52 | 3.1 points | Over 2.5 | 25 of 52 (48%) |
| Jade Melbourne | Storm | 51 | 8.5 points | Over 8.5 | 25 of 51 (49%) |
Standard deviation in the market’s own units, and the same figure as a share of the player’s average so it means the same thing in points as in passing yards. A narrow spread means the average is close to what a typical game actually looked like; it says nothing about what the next one will look like.
| Player | Club | Logged games | Average | Standard deviation | Spread as % of average |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napheesa Collier | Lynx | 25 | 19.0 points | 4.5 | 24% |
| Kelsey Mitchell | Fever | 59 | 24.2 points | 6.5 | 27% |
| A'ja Wilson | Aces | 60 | 26.4 points | 7.1 | 27% |
| Tina Charles | Sun | 12 | 17.3 points | 4.6 | 27% |
| Allisha Gray | Dream | 54 | 18.5 points | 5.5 | 30% |
| Megan DiLeo | Fire | 20 | 14.5 points | 4.5 | 31% |
| Nneka Ogwumike | Sparks | 53 | 17.4 points | 5.4 | 31% |
| Olivia Miles | Lynx | 39 | 19.7 points | 6.3 | 32% |
| Angel Reese | Dream | 48 | 16.6 points | 5.5 | 33% |
| Breanna Stewart | Liberty | 50 | 20.0 points | 6.7 | 33% |
The other end of the same measurement. A wide spread means the average describes the middle of a broad range rather than a typical night, which is worth knowing before reading anything into that average.
| Player | Club | Logged games | Average | Standard deviation | Spread as % of average |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaliyah Nye | Sparks | 36 | 1.1 points | 2.0 | 191% |
| Taylor Thierry | Storm | 17 | 1.4 points | 2.6 | 185% |
| Taina Mair | Storm | 10 | 1.3 points | 2.2 | 169% |
| Ta'Niya Latson | Aces | 17 | 2.8 points | 4.6 | 164% |
| Raquel Carrera | Liberty | 22 | 1.4 points | 2.3 | 162% |
| Sika Kone | Dream | 34 | 1.9 points | 2.9 | 154% |
| Jihyun Park | Sparks | 33 | 2.2 points | 3.4 | 152% |
| Indya Nivar | Dream | 22 | 1.0 points | 1.5 | 151% |
| Julie Vanloo | Liberty | 15 | 2.4 points | 3.6 | 148% |
| Quionche Carter | Mercury | 13 | 1.2 points | 1.7 | 144% |
Both averages are over the games actually played at each venue, and the game count for each is in the cell beside it. A gap measured over a handful of games either way is one you cannot distinguish from noise — this table prints the denominators so you can tell which is which. Three games a side is the floor for appearing here at all.
| Player | Club | Home (games) | Away (games) | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chennedy Carter | Aces | 8.2 (5) | 14.8 (8) | 6.6 away |
| Maddy Westbeld | Mercury | 8.6 (5) | 2.4 (8) | 6.2 at home |
| Amy Okonkwo | Fire | 11.5 (6) | 6.4 (7) | 5.1 at home |
| Brittney Griner | Sun | 8.9 (20) | 13.9 (12) | 5.0 away |
| Isabelle Harrison | Tempo | 13.1 (19) | 8.2 (17) | 4.9 at home |
| Aliyah Boston | Fever | 18.2 (25) | 13.4 (30) | 4.8 at home |
| Kahleah Copper | Mercury | 21.9 (30) | 17.4 (31) | 4.5 at home |
| Brionna Jones | Dream | 12.4 (14) | 7.9 (9) | 4.5 at home |
| Zia Cooke | Storm | 9.7 (21) | 5.2 (23) | 4.5 at home |
| Sabrina Ionescu | Liberty | 12.4 (18) | 16.9 (19) | 4.5 away |
Last five logged games against the full log, reported only where the gap is more than a tenth of the player’s own average. It is a description of five games that have been played and it is not a forecast of the sixth.
| Player | Club | Last 5 | Full log | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaliyah Nye | Sparks | 3.0 points | 1.1 over 36 | 184% above |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | Dream | 1.8 points | 0.7 over 25 | 165% above |
| Julie Vanloo | Liberty | 5.8 points | 2.4 over 15 | 142% above |
| Lexi Held | Mercury | 11.0 points | 4.7 over 52 | 133% above |
| Megan Gustafson | Fire | 15.2 points | 7.2 over 36 | 112% above |
| Makayla Timpson | Fever | 9.4 points | 4.6 over 55 | 106% above |
| Georgia Amoore | Mystics | 13.2 points | 6.7 over 41 | 97% above |
| Laeticia Amihere | Valkyries | 8.0 points | 4.1 over 46 | 95% above |
| Holly Winterburn | Fire | 7.8 points | 4.0 over 29 | 95% above |
| Nell Angloma | Sun | 8.0 points | 4.2 over 37 | 90% above |
The same comparison in the other direction, and the same caveat: five games is five games, and a run below a baseline is as often noise as it is a change.
| Player | Club | Last 5 | Full log | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonia Delaere | Lynx | 0.4 points | 2.9 over 37 | 86% below |
| Angela Dugalic | Mystics | 0.4 points | 2.8 over 35 | 86% below |
| Kate Martin | Sparks | 0.6 points | 4.4 over 30 | 86% below |
| Aerial Powers | Fever | 0.8 points | 5.5 over 16 | 85% below |
| Jihyun Park | Sparks | 0.4 points | 2.2 over 33 | 82% below |
| Odyssey Sims | Wings | 1.4 points | 7.5 over 51 | 81% below |
| Raven Johnson | Fever | 0.6 points | 3.0 over 36 | 80% below |
| Luisa Geiselsoder | Fire | 1.2 points | 4.5 over 21 | 73% below |
| Chennedy Carter | Aces | 3.8 points | 12.2 over 13 | 69% below |
| Kyara Linskens | Mercury | 1.0 points | 3.0 over 19 | 67% below |
At the half-point threshold each player has finished above in about half their logged games. It is measured per player from their own distribution rather than read off a sportsbook, which is why it is on this page at all: a posted line moves through the day and this page is rebuilt once, so a number taken from a book would be wrong by morning.
No. Nothing here is ordered by how good a bet it is, and no price is quoted anywhere on the page. The tables are ordered by sample depth, by spread and by the size of a measured gap, because those are the things a game log can actually establish.
The count is printed beside every one of them. A player only appears once they have ten or more logged games in the market, and games they did not play are absent rather than counted as zero, so an average describes games they were actually in.
No. A trend here is a comparison between a player’s last five logged games and their full log, and it is reported only when the gap is large enough to be worth naming. It is a description of what has happened, and history is not a forecast.
What these tables are measuring, explained: how to read a hit rate and what its denominator hides, what an over/under line is and what it is not.
WNBA player props and live odds
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates, edges and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.