Napheesa Collier Points props

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Over 25 logged WNBA games, Napheesa Collier has gone over 18.5 points 12 times (48%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 19.0 points across those 25 games. Their last 5 average 15.4, 19% below their 19.0 across the full log. They have gone under 18.5 in each of their last 4. Against the Connecticut Sun in this log they have 1 game, averaging 17.0. These are measured box-score results from Minnesota Lynx games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.

Measured history as of 2026-09-20. Rebuilt daily; lines and prices load live.

How often does Napheesa Collier go over each points line?

Napheesa Collier — points hit rate by line, from official box scores
LineAll 25Last 10Last 5
Over 17.5 points16 of 25 (64%)6 of 10 (60%)2 of 5 (40%)
Over 18.5 points12 of 25 (48%)4 of 10 (40%)1 of 5 (20%)
Over 20.5 points7 of 25 (28%)2 of 10 (20%)0 of 5 (0%)

These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Napheesa Collier right now — the live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.

Napheesa Collier is trending down

Napheesa Collier has averaged 15.4 points over their last 5, 19% below their 19.0 across all 25 logged games.

Napheesa Collier's points clusters tightly around it — most games land within 4.5 of 19.0. A narrow spread means the average is close to what a typical night actually looks like.

Napheesa Collier — points by window and venue
WindowAverage
Last 5 games15.4 points
Last 10 games17.5 points
All 25 logged games19.0 points
Best in the log32
Worst in the log9
Home (14 games)19.4 points
Away (11 games)18.5 points

Napheesa Collier against the Connecticut Sun

Napheesa Collier has 1 logged game against the Connecticut Sun, averaging 17.0 points with a high of 17. Most recent first, those games read 17. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.

Napheesa Collier points game log

Napheesa Collier — last 10 logged games, points
DateOpponentVenuePoints
2026-09-18New York LibertyHome14
2026-08-30Atlanta DreamAway17
2026-08-24GSVHome9
2026-08-19GSVAway18
2026-08-15Las Vegas AcesAway19
2026-08-12PDXAway20
2026-08-09Dallas WingsHome17
2026-08-08Las Vegas AcesHome22
2026-08-06Los Angeles SparksHome21
2026-08-02Indiana FeverHome18

Every points prop the books have posted for Napheesa Collier of the Minnesota Lynx, with the WNBA game log the number is drawn from. The history below — game by game, split home and away — is measured from official box scores and rebuilt daily. The line and the price load live rather than being printed here, because they change through the day. What the page will not do is tell you the bet wins: it shows you the sample and the price and stops there.

How these numbers are made

Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.

Every figure on this page is counted from official WNBA box scores, one row per game actually played — no projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.

Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins — this is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.

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How Parlay Builder scores props, in full

How to read a hit rate, and what its denominator hides

Common questions

What is Napheesa Collier's points line tonight?

It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.

How often does Napheesa Collier go over their points line?

The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below, and shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin that sample is. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.

Is Napheesa Collier a good points prop bet?

That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar with a positive shrunk estimate at the current price, at least ten games behind the rate, a B− grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.

Where does the WNBA points history on this page come from?

Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they actually played.

All Napheesa Collier props and hit rates · Every WNBA points prop

How WNBA prop markets behave, measured across the league

Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates, edges and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.