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With no line posted, over 17 MLB games since July 2026, Parker Messick has gone over a balanced line of 4.5 hits allowed 10 times (59%), and over their last 10 they have done it 7 times (70%). They average 4.8 hits allowed across those 17 games. Their last 5 (4.6) are in line with their 4.8 this season (17 games), so there is no recent move to read into. These are measured box-score results from Cleveland Guardians games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Line | All 17 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 hits allowed | 16 of 17 (94%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 3.5 hits allowed | 13 of 17 (76%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 4.5 hits allowed | 10 of 17 (59%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 5.5 hits allowed | 7 of 17 (41%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 6.5 hits allowed | 2 of 17 (12%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Parker Messick right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Parker Messick has averaged 4.6 hits allowed over their last 5, against 4.8 across all 17 logged games, no meaningful move either way.
Parker Messick's hits allowed cluster tightly around it: most games land within 1.5 of 4.8. A narrow spread means the average is close to what a typical night actually looks like.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4.6 hits allowed |
| Last 10 games | 5.0 hits allowed |
| All 17 logged games | 4.8 hits allowed |
| Best in the log | 7 |
| Worst in the log | 2 |
| Home (8 games) | 5.5 hits allowed |
| Away (9 games) | 4.2 hits allowed |
Parker Messick's highest in this log is 7 hits allowed against the Chicago White Sox on 2026-09-16, and the lowest is 2 against the Chicago White Sox on 2026-10-08. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 4.5 hits allowed |
|---|---|
| At home | 6 of 8 (75%) |
| On the road | 4 of 9 (44%) |
Parker Messick has cleared 4.5 hits allowed 31 points more often at home, 75% in 8 home games against 44% in 9 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Hits Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Tampa Bay Rays | Home | 5 |
| 2026-10-13 | Tampa Bay Rays | Away | 6 |
| 2026-10-08 | Chicago White Sox | Away | 2 |
| 2026-10-03 | Chicago White Sox | Home | 4 |
| 2026-09-27 | Kansas City Royals | Away | 6 |
| 2026-09-22 | Boston Red Sox | Away | 5 |
| 2026-09-16 | Chicago White Sox | Home | 7 |
| 2026-09-11 | Minnesota Twins | Away | 3 |
| 2026-09-05 | Detroit Tigers | Home | 7 |
| 2026-08-30 | Kansas City Royals | Home | 5 |
Parker Messick of the Cleveland Guardians in hits allowed, measured from official MLB box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. There is no line and no price on this page because none is posted; when one is, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official MLB box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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There is none posted at the moment, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All Parker Messick props and hit rates
How MLB prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.