Aaron Holiday Points props

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With no line posted, over 63 NBA games since October 2025, Aaron Holiday has gone over a balanced line of 3.5 points 32 times (51%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 5.2 points across those 63 games. Their last 5 average 3.2, 39% below their 5.2 this season (63 games). These are measured box-score results from Houston Rockets games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.

This page is the measured record from official box scores. When the live board carries a line for this player, it loads at the top of this page, at the same address.

Data through May 1, 2026.

How often does Aaron Holiday go over each points line?

Aaron Holiday: points hit rate by line, from official box scores
LineAll 63Last 10Last 5
Over 0.5 points48 of 63 (76%)6 of 10 (60%)3 of 5 (60%)
Over 1.5 points47 of 63 (75%)6 of 10 (60%)3 of 5 (60%)
Over 3.5 points32 of 63 (51%)5 of 10 (50%)2 of 5 (40%)
Over 7.5 points17 of 63 (27%)2 of 10 (20%)1 of 5 (20%)
Over 9.5 points11 of 63 (17%)1 of 10 (10%)0 of 5 (0%)

These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Aaron Holiday right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.

Aaron Holiday is trending down

Aaron Holiday has averaged 3.2 points over their last 5, 39% below their 5.2 across all 63 logged games.

Aaron Holiday's points swing widely: a standard deviation of 5.0 on a 5.2 average. A wide spread means the average describes the middle of a broad range rather than a typical night.

Aaron Holiday: points by window and venue
WindowAverage
Last 5 games3.2 points
Last 10 games4.2 points
All 63 logged games5.2 points
Best in the log22
Worst in the log0
Home (31 games)4.7 points
Away (32 games)5.7 points

Aaron Holiday's highest in this log is 22 points against the Phoenix Suns on 2025-11-24, and the lowest is 0 against the Los Angeles Lakers on 2026-04-24. Both are single games, not a range to expect.

Aaron Holiday points: home, rest and matchup splits

Aaron Holiday: share of games over 3.5 points, split by where and when they played
SplitOver 3.5 points
At home17 of 31 (55%)
On the road15 of 32 (47%)
On one day between games4 of 8 (50%)
On two or more days between games26 of 53 (49%)
Against the Los Angeles Lakers2 of 7 (29%)

Aaron Holiday has cleared 3.5 points at much the same rate home and away, 55% against 47%.

A day between games has not moved the number much: 50% on one day, 49% on two or more.

Their deepest matchup sample is 7 games against the Los Angeles Lakers, 2 of them over 3.5 points.

A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.

Aaron Holiday points game log

Aaron Holiday: last 10 logged games, points
DateOpponentVenuePoints
2026-05-01Los Angeles LakersHome2
2026-04-29Los Angeles LakersAway5
2026-04-26Los Angeles LakersHome9
2026-04-24Los Angeles LakersHome0
2026-04-21Los Angeles LakersAway0
2026-04-18Los Angeles LakersAway0
2026-04-12Memphis GrizzliesHome7
2026-04-10Minnesota TimberwolvesHome0
2026-04-09Philadelphia 76ersHome7
2026-04-07Phoenix SunsAway12

Aaron Holiday of the Houston Rockets in points, measured from official NBA box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. No line or price is printed on this page; when the board carries one, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.

How these numbers are made

Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.

Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.

Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.

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How Parlay Builder scores props, in full

How to read a hit rate, and what its denominator hides

Common questions

What is Aaron Holiday's points line?

None is printed on this page, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.

How often has Aaron Holiday gone over in points?

The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.

Where does this NBA points history come from?

Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.

All Aaron Holiday props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop

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Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.