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97 NBA players have a points prop posted for the next 7 days, and 97 of them carry at least 10 logged games here. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the measured field at 30.5 points over 83 games, against a median of 15.8 across the priced field. That ordering is measured history, not tonight’s value — the live board above ranks the same players by price against that history, and the two routinely disagree.
Averages over each player's logged games, from official box scores. This is history, not a ranking of tonight’s props — the live board above is ordered by price against that history, and the two routinely disagree.
| Player | Team | Games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Thunder | 83 | 30.5 | Over 30.5 | 38 of 83 (46%) |
| Anthony Edwards | Timberwolves | 71 | 27.8 | Over 28.5 | 35 of 71 (49%) |
| Lauri Markkanen | Jazz | 42 | 26.7 | Over 27.5 | 20 of 42 (48%) |
| Stephen Curry | Warriors | 43 | 26.6 | Over 26.5 | 23 of 43 (53%) |
| Jalen Brunson | Knicks | 93 | 26.5 | Over 27.5 | 46 of 93 (49%) |
| Joel Embiid | 76ers | 45 | 26.4 | Over 26.5 | 23 of 45 (51%) |
| Kevin Durant | Rockets | 79 | 25.9 | Over 25.5 | 39 of 79 (49%) |
| Devin Booker | Suns | 68 | 25.8 | Over 25.5 | 34 of 68 (50%) |
| Victor Wembanyama | Spurs | 86 | 24.7 | Over 25.5 | 43 of 86 (50%) |
| Cade Cunningham | Pistons | 78 | 24.7 | Over 25.5 | 40 of 78 (51%) |
| Deni Avdija | Trail Blazers | 71 | 24.1 | Over 24.5 | 38 of 71 (54%) |
| Pascal Siakam | Pacers | 62 | 24.0 | Over 24.5 | 31 of 62 (50%) |
| Keyonte George | Jazz | 54 | 23.6 | Over 24.5 | 28 of 54 (52%) |
| Austin Reaves | Lakers | 57 | 22.9 | Over 21.5 | 29 of 57 (51%) |
| Paolo Banchero | Magic | 79 | 22.6 | Over 22.5 | 42 of 79 (53%) |
| Jalen Johnson | Hawks | 78 | 22.3 | Over 22.5 | 38 of 78 (49%) |
| Trey Murphy III | Pelicans | 66 | 21.5 | Over 20.5 | 36 of 66 (55%) |
| Zion Williamson | Pelicans | 62 | 21.0 | Over 21.5 | 30 of 62 (48%) |
| Cooper Flagg | Mavericks | 70 | 21.0 | Over 18.5 | 36 of 70 (51%) |
| Dillon Brooks | Suns | 60 | 20.6 | Over 21.5 | 30 of 60 (50%) |
| Across the field | Average |
|---|---|
| Lowest | 5 |
| Median | 15.8 |
| Highest | 30.5 |
The priced field runs from 5 to 30.5 points a game, with the middle at 15.8 over 97 players.
| Line | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Over 10.5 | 4808 of 6800 | 71% |
| Over 14.5 | 3568 of 6800 | 52% |
| Over 19.5 | 2106 of 6800 | 31% |
Pooled across all 6800 logged games behind those 97 players, not any one of them — a pooled rate is the field's, and an individual player's own ladder is on their page.
NBA points props across the whole slate. 97 players currently have a points line posted, and each is scored against their own game log at the exact line on offer, then compared with the price after a short record is pulled toward it. The table loads live so the lines and prices are the ones on offer now. Most of any board clears none of the research bar, and when that is true this page says so rather than ranking the least-bad options.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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Every points prop on the slate is scored the same way: the player's own game log against the exact line on offer, shrunk for sample size, compared with the price, and the table on this page orders them by that estimate. It loads live, so it is the slate as it stands now rather than a saved list.
As the share of logged games in which the player finished above the exact line a book is offering, over the deepest window available, then pulled toward the price before the two are compared. The shrinkage is why a three-for-three player does not top this table: a three-game denominator admits only four possible answers and none of them is a measurement.
Because props only exist once a book has priced the game, and between a slate finishing and the next being posted there is a real window with no points lines at all. The page also refuses to pad itself: when nothing clears the research bar it says so rather than filling the space with the least-bad options.
No, not on its own. A prop that clears its line seven times in ten, at a price implying it should clear three times in four, loses money over the long run. The hit rate answers how often; the price answers what you are paid for it; only the two together say anything at all, and the sportsbook margin sits between them either way.
How NBA prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.