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Over 60 NBA games since October 2025, Alex Sarr has gone over the posted 10.5 points 43 times (72%), and over their last 10 they have done it 6 times (60%). They average 15.3 points across those 60 games. Their last 5 average 13.4, 20% above their 11.2 this season (12 games). Against the Houston Rockets in this log they have 1 game, averaging 25.0. These are measured box-score results from Washington Wizards games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 7:10 PM ET, at home against the Houston Rockets. Last logged game November 12, 3 days before.
| Line | All 60 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6.5 points | 52 of 60 (87%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 10.5 points | 43 of 60 (72%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 15.5 points | 28 of 60 (47%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 18.5 points | 19 of 60 (32%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 23.5 points | 10 of 60 (17%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Alex Sarr right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Alex Sarr has averaged 13.4 points over their last 5, 12% below their 15.3 across all 60 logged games.
Alex Sarr's points vary moderately, a standard deviation of 7.6 around 15.3. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 13.4 points |
| Last 10 games | 12.1 points |
| All 60 logged games | 15.3 points |
| Best in the log | 31 |
| Worst in the log | 2 |
| Home (28 games) | 15.6 points |
| Away (32 games) | 15.0 points |
Alex Sarr's highest in this log is 31 points against the Boston Celtics on 2025-11-05, and the lowest is 2 against the Detroit Pistons on 2026-03-19. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 15.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 13 of 28 (46%) |
| On the road | 15 of 32 (47%) |
| On one day between games | 4 of 8 (50%) |
| On two or more days between games | 23 of 48 (48%) |
| Against the Charlotte Hornets | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Against the Detroit Pistons | 1 of 5 (20%) |
Alex Sarr has cleared 15.5 points at much the same rate home and away, 46% against 47%.
A day between games has not moved the number much: 50% on one day, 48% on two or more.
Their deepest matchup sample is 5 games against the Charlotte Hornets, 2 of them over 15.5 points.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Alex Sarr has 1 logged game against the Houston Rockets, averaging 25.0 points with a high of 25. Most recent first, those games read 25. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 | Detroit Pistons | Home | 30 |
| 2026-11-11 | Indiana Pacers | Away | 5 |
| 2026-11-09 | Detroit Pistons | Away | 4 |
| 2026-11-07 | Oklahoma City Thunder | Away | 15 |
| 2026-11-06 | Atlanta Hawks | Away | 13 |
| 2026-11-04 | Atlanta Hawks | Home | 11 |
| 2026-10-30 | Charlotte Hornets | Home | 3 |
| 2026-10-28 | Cleveland Cavaliers | Away | 18 |
| 2026-10-26 | Charlotte Hornets | Away | 12 |
| 2026-10-24 | Chicago Bulls | Away | 10 |
Every points prop the books have posted for Alex Sarr of the Washington Wizards, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Alex Sarr props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop
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