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With no line posted, over 61 NBA games since October 2025, Christian Braun has gone over a balanced line of 11.5 points 29 times (48%), and over their last 10 they have done it 6 times (60%). They average 11.8 points across those 61 games. Their last 5 average 10.0, 22% below their 12.8 this season (11 games). These are measured box-score results from Denver Nuggets games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Line | All 61 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 points | 53 of 61 (87%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 7.5 points | 42 of 61 (69%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 11.5 points | 29 of 61 (48%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 14.5 points | 19 of 61 (31%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 18.5 points | 9 of 61 (15%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Christian Braun right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Christian Braun has averaged 10.0 points over their last 5, 15% below their 11.8 across all 61 logged games.
Christian Braun's points vary moderately, a standard deviation of 6.2 around 11.8. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 10.0 points |
| Last 10 games | 13.4 points |
| All 61 logged games | 11.8 points |
| Best in the log | 31 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (30 games) | 13.1 points |
| Away (31 games) | 10.5 points |
Christian Braun's highest in this log is 31 points against the Phoenix Suns on 2026-10-30, and the lowest is 0 against the Atlanta Hawks on 2026-01-09. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 11.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 18 of 30 (60%) |
| On the road | 11 of 31 (35%) |
| On one day between games | 1 of 9 (11%) |
| On two or more days between games | 28 of 48 (58%) |
| Against the Minnesota Timberwolves | 3 of 8 (38%) |
| Against the Golden State Warriors | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Against the Portland Trail Blazers | 2 of 5 (40%) |
Christian Braun has cleared 11.5 points 25 points more often at home, 60% in 30 home games against 35% in 31 away.
Rest has suited them, 11% over 9 games on a single day between games against 58% over 48 with more.
Their deepest matchup sample is 8 games against the Minnesota Timberwolves, 3 of them over 11.5 points.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | New Orleans Pelicans | Away | 17 |
| 2026-11-11 | Memphis Grizzlies | Away | 12 |
| 2026-11-09 | Houston Rockets | Away | 4 |
| 2026-11-07 | Indiana Pacers | Away | 6 |
| 2026-11-04 | Toronto Raptors | Home | 11 |
| 2026-11-02 | Portland Trail Blazers | Home | 14 |
| 2026-10-30 | Phoenix Suns | Away | 31 |
| 2026-10-28 | New Orleans Pelicans | Away | 15 |
| 2026-10-26 | Golden State Warriors | Home | 9 |
| 2026-10-24 | New Orleans Pelicans | Home | 15 |
Every points prop the books have posted for Christian Braun of the Denver Nuggets, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Christian Braun props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop
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