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Over 80 NBA games since October 2025, Collin Sexton has gone over the posted 14.5 points 43 times (54%), and over their last 10 they have done it 3 times (30%). They average 14.7 points across those 80 games. Their last 5 (11.0) are in line with their 10.3 this season (12 games), so there is no recent move to read into. Against the Phoenix Suns in this log they have 2 games, averaging 24.0. These are measured box-score results from Los Angeles Lakers games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 4:10 PM ET, on the road against the Phoenix Suns. Last logged game November 11, 4 days before.
| Line | All 80 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 points | 69 of 80 (86%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 11.5 points | 54 of 80 (68%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 14.5 points | 43 of 80 (54%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 17.5 points | 27 of 80 (34%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 20.5 points | 14 of 80 (18%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Collin Sexton right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Collin Sexton has averaged 11.0 points over their last 5, 25% below their 14.7 across all 80 logged games.
Collin Sexton's points vary moderately, a standard deviation of 6.2 around 14.7. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 11.0 points |
| Last 10 games | 10.5 points |
| All 80 logged games | 14.7 points |
| Best in the log | 30 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (40 games) | 13.3 points |
| Away (40 games) | 16.1 points |
Collin Sexton's highest in this log is 30 points against the Phoenix Suns on 2026-03-05, and the lowest is 0 against the Portland Trail Blazers on 2026-11-06. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 14.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 17 of 40 (43%) |
| On the road | 26 of 40 (65%) |
| On one day between games | 7 of 17 (41%) |
| On two or more days between games | 35 of 60 (58%) |
| Against the Milwaukee Bucks | 4 of 6 (67%) |
| Against the Toronto Raptors | 3 of 6 (50%) |
| Against the Washington Wizards | 3 of 5 (60%) |
Collin Sexton has cleared 14.5 points 22 points more often on the road, 43% in 40 home games against 65% in 40 away.
Rest has suited them, 41% over 17 games on a single day between games against 58% over 60 with more.
Their deepest matchup sample is 6 games against the Milwaukee Bucks, 4 of them over 14.5 points.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Collin Sexton has 2 logged games against the Phoenix Suns, averaging 24.0 points with a high of 30. Most recent first, those games read 18, 30. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-11 | Milwaukee Bucks | Away | 10 |
| 2026-11-09 | Atlanta Hawks | Away | 18 |
| 2026-11-08 | Detroit Pistons | Away | 17 |
| 2026-11-06 | Portland Trail Blazers | Home | 0 |
| 2026-11-04 | Sacramento Kings | Away | 10 |
| 2026-11-02 | Miami Heat | Home | 6 |
| 2026-11-01 | Toronto Raptors | Home | 14 |
| 2026-10-30 | Golden State Warriors | Away | 0 |
| 2026-10-28 | LA Clippers | Away | 21 |
| 2026-10-27 | Portland Trail Blazers | Home | 9 |
Every points prop the books have posted for Collin Sexton of the Los Angeles Lakers, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
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