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With no line posted, over 87 NBA games since October 2025, DeMar DeRozan has gone over a balanced line of 16.5 points 45 times (52%), and over their last 10 they have done it once (10%). They average 17.4 points across those 87 games. Their last 5 average 8.8, 11% below their 9.9 this season (10 games). They have gone under 16.5 in each of their last 7. These are measured box-score results from Denver Nuggets games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assists | 87 | 4.0 assists | Over 3.5 | 45 of 87 (52%) |
| Points | 87 | 17.4 points | Over 16.5 | 45 of 87 (52%) |
| Points + Rebounds + Assists | 87 | 24.3 combined points, rebounds and assists | Over 22.5 | 45 of 87 (52%) |
| Rebounds | 87 | 2.8 rebounds | Over 2.5 | 46 of 87 (53%) |
| 3-Pointers Made | 87 | 0.6 three-pointers | Over 0.5 | 33 of 87 (38%) |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Assists | Over 2.5 | 62 of 87 (71%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Assists | Over 3.5 | 45 of 87 (52%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Assists | Over 5.5 | 19 of 87 (22%) | 0 of 10 (0%) |
| Points | Over 11.5 | 61 of 87 (70%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Points | Over 16.5 | 45 of 87 (52%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
| Points | Over 21.5 | 26 of 87 (30%) | 0 of 10 (0%) |
| Points + Rebounds + Assists | Over 17.5 | 63 of 87 (72%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Points + Rebounds + Assists | Over 22.5 | 45 of 87 (52%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
| Points + Rebounds + Assists | Over 28.5 | 27 of 87 (31%) | 0 of 10 (0%) |
| Rebounds | Over 1.5 | 67 of 87 (77%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Rebounds | Over 2.5 | 46 of 87 (53%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Rebounds | Over 3.5 | 31 of 87 (36%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| 3-Pointers Made | Over 0.5 | 33 of 87 (38%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
| 3-Pointers Made | Over 1.5 | 10 of 87 (11%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
| 3-Pointers Made | Over 2.5 | 5 of 87 (6%) | 0 of 10 (0%) |
Every market DeMar DeRozan is currently priced in, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Assists | Points | Points + Rebounds + Assists | Rebounds | 3-Pointers Made |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | New Orleans Pelicans | Away | 2 | 9 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 2026-11-11 | Memphis Grizzlies | Away | 4 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-11-09 | Houston Rockets | Away | 2 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 2026-11-07 | Indiana Pacers | Away | 5 | 11 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-11-02 | Portland Trail Blazers | Home | 1 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-10-30 | Phoenix Suns | Away | 5 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-10-28 | New Orleans Pelicans | Away | 5 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 2026-10-26 | Golden State Warriors | Home | 2 | 21 | 27 | 4 | 2 |
Counted from the same 87 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Points |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 2 |
| 25th percentile | 10 |
| Median | 17 |
| 75th percentile | 23 |
| Highest logged game | 41 |
46 of 87 games (53%) landed between 10 and 23; 45 (52%) finished at or above the 17 median, and the spread from 2 to 41 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score DeMar DeRozan actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| November 2026 | 5 | 8.8 |
| October 2026 | 5 | 11 |
| April 2026 | 3 | 17 |
| March 2026 | 13 | 19 |
| February 2026 | 11 | 15.6 |
| January 2026 | 17 | 19.9 |
| Gap | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| 1 day | 13 | 18.4 |
| 2 days | 53 | 17.4 |
| 3 to 4 days | 16 | 17.3 |
| 5 or more days | 4 | 12.3 |
The gap is the distance to the previous game in this log, not a rest figure. A box score does not record a game a player sat out inside it.
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans Pelicans | 6 | 10.7 | 15 |
| Houston Rockets | 5 | 16.6 | 27 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 5 | 15.4 | 23 |
| Phoenix Suns | 5 | 14.4 | 29 |
| Utah Jazz | 4 | 21 | 41 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 4 | 21 | 32 |
Most-faced in this log is New Orleans Pelicans, 6 games at 10.7, best of 15. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 17 median rather than a posted line, DeMar DeRozan's longest run at or above it is 9 games and the run open at the newest of the 87 is 0. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
DeMar DeRozan has gone over 3.5 assists in 45 of 87 logged games (52%).
At home they average 4.0 over 42 games; away, 4.0 over 45.
DeMar DeRozan assists: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
DeMar DeRozan has gone over 16.5 points in 45 of 87 logged games (52%).
At home they average 17.8 over 42 games; away, 17.2 over 45.
DeMar DeRozan points: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
DeMar DeRozan has gone over 22.5 combined points, rebounds and assists in 45 of 87 logged games (52%).
At home they average 24.5 over 42 games; away, 24.1 over 45.
DeMar DeRozan points + rebounds + assists: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
DeMar DeRozan has gone over 2.5 rebounds in 46 of 87 logged games (53%).
At home they average 2.7 over 42 games; away, 2.9 over 45.
DeMar DeRozan rebounds: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
DeMar DeRozan has gone over 0.5 three-pointers in 33 of 87 logged games (38%).
At home they average 0.7 over 42 games; away, 0.4 over 45.
DeMar DeRozan 3-pointers made: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop research for DeMar DeRozan of the Denver Nuggets. The books are currently pricing Assists, Points, Points + Rebounds + Assists, Rebounds and 3-Pointers Made lines for DeMar DeRozan, and each one is scored the same way every prop on this site is: their own game log measured against the exact line on offer, then compared with the price after a short record is pulled toward that price, so a hot fortnight cannot pass for a gap over it. The game log and the splits below are measured history and are rebuilt daily; the lines and prices load live, because an NBA price printed into a page is wrong within the hour. None of it is a forecast of the next game.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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Whatever the books have priced: currently Assists, Points, Points + Rebounds + Assists, Rebounds and 3-Pointers Made. The board on this page loads live rather than from a saved snapshot, so it reflects what is actually on offer now, with the best posted price across the major US sportsbooks against each line.
It depends on the line, which is why this page shows a rate per prop rather than one number. Each is the share of logged games finishing above the exact line on offer, over the deepest window available, and pulled toward the price before it is compared with it, so a short sample cannot masquerade as a trend. The number of games behind every rate is printed beside it.
The home and away splits on this page are measured from the same game log, so you can see the gap rather than assume one. Read them with the sample sizes next to them: a split measured over a handful of games each way is a difference you cannot distinguish from noise, and this page prints the denominator so you can tell.
No one knows, and any NBA tool that says otherwise is selling you something. Every figure here is measured history against a current price, and history is not a forecast. Across roughly 96,000 graded props the model tracked the de-vigged consensus across five books to within the margin those books charge: historical testing showed calibration alone is not enough to overcome sportsbook pricing. What this page does is show you the sample behind every number in seconds.
How NBA prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.