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With no line posted, over 77 NBA games since October 2025, Dru Smith has gone over a balanced line of 5.5 points 35 times (45%), and over their last 10 they have done it twice (20%). They average 5.3 points across those 77 games. Their last 5 average 1.2, 77% below their 5.3 over their last 77 games. They have gone under 5.5 in each of their last 5. These are measured box-score results from Miami Heat games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Wednesday, November 25, 5:10 PM ET, on the road against the Philadelphia 76ers. Last logged game November 13, 12 days before.
| Line | All 77 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 points | 67 of 77 (87%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 3.5 points | 53 of 77 (69%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 5.5 points | 35 of 77 (45%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 6.5 points | 24 of 77 (31%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 9.5 points | 11 of 77 (14%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Dru Smith right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Dru Smith has averaged 1.2 points over their last 5, 77% below their 5.3 across all 77 logged games.
Dru Smith's points vary moderately, a standard deviation of 3.5 around 5.3. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1.2 points |
| Last 10 games | 2.2 points |
| All 77 logged games | 5.3 points |
| Best in the log | 13 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (41 games) | 5.5 points |
| Away (36 games) | 5.1 points |
Dru Smith's highest in this log is 13 points against the Orlando Magic on 2026-01-28, and the lowest is 0 against the Cleveland Cavaliers on 2026-11-13. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 5.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 19 of 41 (46%) |
| On the road | 16 of 36 (44%) |
| On one day between games | 6 of 14 (43%) |
| On two or more days between games | 29 of 61 (48%) |
Dru Smith has cleared 5.5 points at much the same rate home and away, 46% against 44%.
A day between games has not moved the number much: 43% on one day, 48% on two or more.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Dru Smith has 2 logged games against the Philadelphia 76ers, averaging 5.0 points with a high of 9. Most recent first, those games read 1, 9. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Cleveland Cavaliers | Home | 0 |
| 2026-11-05 | Golden State Warriors | Away | 0 |
| 2026-11-02 | Los Angeles Lakers | Away | 3 |
| 2026-10-30 | Indiana Pacers | Home | 0 |
| 2026-10-28 | Atlanta Hawks | Away | 3 |
| 2026-10-26 | Dallas Mavericks | Home | 6 |
| 2026-10-23 | Detroit Pistons | Home | 3 |
| 2026-04-04 | Washington Wizards | Home | 6 |
| 2026-04-01 | Boston Celtics | Home | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Philadelphia 76ers | Home | 1 |
Dru Smith of the Miami Heat in points, measured from official NBA box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. No line or price is printed on this page; when the board carries one, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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None is printed on this page, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
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Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.