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Over 63 NBA games since October 2025, Jakob Poeltl has gone over the posted 8.5 points 34 times (54%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 9.9 points across those 63 games. Their last 5 average 12.0, 45% above their 8.3 this season (10 games). Against the New York Knicks in this log they have 3 games, averaging 7.7. These are measured box-score results from Toronto Raptors games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 6:10 PM ET, at home against the New York Knicks. Last logged game November 12, 3 days before.
| Line | All 63 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 points | 53 of 63 (84%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 6.5 points | 43 of 63 (68%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 8.5 points | 34 of 63 (54%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 12.5 points | 19 of 63 (30%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 17.5 points | 10 of 63 (16%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Jakob Poeltl right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Jakob Poeltl has averaged 12.0 points over their last 5, 21% above their 9.9 across all 63 logged games.
Jakob Poeltl's points vary moderately, a standard deviation of 5.8 around 9.9. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 12.0 points |
| Last 10 games | 8.3 points |
| All 63 logged games | 9.9 points |
| Best in the log | 23 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (30 games) | 10.0 points |
| Away (33 games) | 9.9 points |
Jakob Poeltl's highest in this log is 23 points against the Denver Nuggets on 2026-03-20, and the lowest is 0 against the Minnesota Timberwolves on 2026-10-25. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 8.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 17 of 30 (57%) |
| On the road | 17 of 33 (52%) |
| Against the Cleveland Cavaliers | 4 of 9 (44%) |
Jakob Poeltl has cleared 8.5 points at much the same rate home and away, 57% against 52%.
Their deepest matchup sample is 9 games against the Cleveland Cavaliers, 4 of them over 8.5 points.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Jakob Poeltl has 3 logged games against the New York Knicks, averaging 7.7 points with a high of 10. Most recent first, those games read 4, 9, 10. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 | Philadelphia 76ers | Away | 9 |
| 2026-11-11 | Boston Celtics | Home | 6 |
| 2026-11-09 | Memphis Grizzlies | Home | 18 |
| 2026-11-06 | Milwaukee Bucks | Away | 19 |
| 2026-11-04 | Denver Nuggets | Away | 8 |
| 2026-10-30 | Orlando Magic | Home | 12 |
| 2026-10-28 | Orlando Magic | Home | 2 |
| 2026-10-25 | Minnesota Timberwolves | Away | 0 |
| 2026-10-23 | Washington Wizards | Away | 6 |
| 2026-10-21 | Chicago Bulls | Home | 3 |
Every points prop the books have posted for Jakob Poeltl of the Toronto Raptors, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Jakob Poeltl props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop
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