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Over 88 NBA games since October 2025, Jalen Johnson has gone over the posted 21.5 points 44 times (50%), and over their last 10 they have done it 3 times (30%). They average 22.0 points across those 88 games. Their last 5 (20.4) are in line with their 20.0 this season (10 games), so there is no recent move to read into. Against the Milwaukee Bucks in this log they have 3 games, averaging 23.7. These are measured box-score results from Atlanta Hawks games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 8:10 PM ET, on the road against the Milwaukee Bucks. Last logged game November 13, 2 days before.
| Line | All 88 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 13.5 points | 76 of 88 (86%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 18.5 points | 59 of 88 (67%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 21.5 points | 44 of 88 (50%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 25.5 points | 27 of 88 (31%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 29.5 points | 13 of 88 (15%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Jalen Johnson right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Jalen Johnson has averaged 20.4 points over their last 5, against 22.0 across all 88 logged games, no meaningful move either way.
Jalen Johnson's points cluster tightly around it: most games land within 7.3 of 22.0. A narrow spread means the average is close to what a typical night actually looks like.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 20.4 points |
| Last 10 games | 20.0 points |
| All 88 logged games | 22.0 points |
| Best in the log | 43 |
| Worst in the log | 5 |
| Home (42 games) | 21.6 points |
| Away (46 games) | 22.4 points |
Jalen Johnson's highest in this log is 43 points against the Charlotte Hornets on 2025-12-18, and the lowest is 5 against the Washington Wizards on 2026-02-24. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 21.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 21 of 42 (50%) |
| On the road | 23 of 46 (50%) |
| On one day between games | 7 of 11 (64%) |
| On two or more days between games | 36 of 75 (48%) |
| Against the New York Knicks | 2 of 9 (22%) |
| Against the Brooklyn Nets | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Against the Charlotte Hornets | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Against the Cleveland Cavaliers | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Against the Orlando Magic | 1 of 5 (20%) |
Jalen Johnson has cleared 21.5 points at much the same rate home and away, 50% against 50%.
Short rest has suited them, 64% over 11 games on a single day between games against 48% over 75 with more.
Their deepest matchup sample is 9 games against the New York Knicks, 2 of them over 21.5 points.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Jalen Johnson has 3 logged games against the Milwaukee Bucks, averaging 23.7 points with a high of 28. Most recent first, those games read 23, 20, 28. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Chicago Bulls | Away | 27 |
| 2026-11-09 | Los Angeles Lakers | Home | 15 |
| 2026-11-07 | Brooklyn Nets | Home | 30 |
| 2026-10-31 | New Orleans Pelicans | Away | 13 |
| 2026-10-29 | Cleveland Cavaliers | Home | 17 |
| 2026-10-28 | Miami Heat | Home | 12 |
| 2026-10-26 | Houston Rockets | Away | 21 |
| 2026-10-24 | Houston Rockets | Home | 26 |
| 2026-10-23 | Charlotte Hornets | Away | 19 |
| 2026-10-21 | Orlando Magic | Away | 20 |
Every points prop the books have posted for Jalen Johnson of the Atlanta Hawks, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Jalen Johnson props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop
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