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Over 95 NBA games since November 2025, Jared McCain has gone over the posted 15.5 points 17 times (18%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 9.3 points across those 95 games. Their last 5 average 18.8, 40% above their 13.5 this season (13 games). Against the Sacramento Kings in this log they have 1 game, averaging 4.0. These are measured box-score results from Oklahoma City Thunder games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 9:10 PM ET, on the road against the Sacramento Kings. Last logged game November 13, 2 days before.
| Line | All 95 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 points | 79 of 95 (83%) | 10 of 10 (100%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 4.5 points | 70 of 95 (74%) | 10 of 10 (100%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 8.5 points | 46 of 95 (48%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 12.5 points | 29 of 95 (31%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 17.5 points | 15 of 95 (16%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Jared McCain right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Jared McCain has averaged 18.8 points over their last 5, 102% above their 9.3 across all 95 logged games.
Jared McCain's points swing widely: a standard deviation of 6.7 on a 9.3 average. A wide spread means the average describes the middle of a broad range rather than a typical night.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 18.8 points |
| Last 10 games | 14.8 points |
| All 95 logged games | 9.3 points |
| Best in the log | 26 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (48 games) | 8.5 points |
| Away (47 games) | 10.1 points |
Jared McCain's highest in this log is 26 points against the Brooklyn Nets on 2026-03-18, and the lowest is 0 against the Phoenix Suns on 2026-04-27. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 8.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 23 of 48 (48%) |
| On the road | 23 of 47 (49%) |
| On one day between games | 8 of 15 (53%) |
| On two or more days between games | 37 of 78 (47%) |
| Against the San Antonio Spurs | 6 of 8 (75%) |
| Against the Los Angeles Lakers | 4 of 8 (50%) |
| Against the Phoenix Suns | 3 of 7 (43%) |
| Against the Denver Nuggets | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Against the LA Clippers | 1 of 5 (20%) |
Jared McCain has cleared 8.5 points at much the same rate home and away, 48% against 49%.
A day between games has not moved the number much: 53% on one day, 47% on two or more.
Their deepest matchup sample is 8 games against the San Antonio Spurs, 6 of them over 8.5 points.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Jared McCain has 1 logged game against the Sacramento Kings, averaging 4.0 points with a high of 4. Most recent first, those games read 4. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | LA Clippers | Away | 23 |
| 2026-11-11 | Portland Trail Blazers | Away | 10 |
| 2026-11-10 | Portland Trail Blazers | Away | 21 |
| 2026-11-07 | Washington Wizards | Home | 19 |
| 2026-11-06 | Memphis Grizzlies | Away | 21 |
| 2026-11-04 | Cleveland Cavaliers | Home | 9 |
| 2026-11-02 | Cleveland Cavaliers | Away | 7 |
| 2026-10-31 | Houston Rockets | Away | 10 |
| 2026-10-28 | Dallas Mavericks | Away | 10 |
| 2026-10-26 | Phoenix Suns | Home | 18 |
Every points prop the books have posted for Jared McCain of the Oklahoma City Thunder, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Jared McCain props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop
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