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Over 33 NBA games since March 2026, Jayson Tatum has gone over the posted 7.5 rebounds 17 times (52%), and over their last 10 they have done it twice (20%). They average 8.8 rebounds across those 33 games. Their last 5 (6.2) are in line with their 6.1 this season (11 games), so there is no recent move to read into. They have gone under 7.5 in each of their last 3. Against the Dallas Mavericks in this log they have 1 game, averaging 12.0. These are measured box-score results from Boston Celtics games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 6:10 PM ET, at home against the Dallas Mavericks. Last logged game November 11, 4 days before.
| Line | All 33 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 rebounds | 29 of 33 (88%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 5.5 rebounds | 24 of 33 (73%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 7.5 rebounds | 17 of 33 (52%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 11.5 rebounds | 9 of 33 (27%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 12.5 rebounds | 6 of 33 (18%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Jayson Tatum right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Jayson Tatum has averaged 6.2 rebounds over their last 5, 30% below their 8.8 across all 33 logged games.
Jayson Tatum's rebounds vary moderately, a standard deviation of 3.8 around 8.8. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 6.2 rebounds |
| Last 10 games | 6.3 rebounds |
| All 33 logged games | 8.8 rebounds |
| Best in the log | 18 |
| Worst in the log | 3 |
| Home (16 games) | 10.3 rebounds |
| Away (17 games) | 7.4 rebounds |
Jayson Tatum's highest in this log is 18 rebounds against the Miami Heat on 2026-04-01, and the lowest is 3 against the Cleveland Cavaliers on 2026-03-08. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 7.5 rebounds |
|---|---|
| At home | 11 of 16 (69%) |
| On the road | 6 of 17 (35%) |
| Against the Philadelphia 76ers | 4 of 7 (57%) |
Jayson Tatum has cleared 7.5 rebounds 34 points more often at home, 69% in 16 home games against 35% in 17 away.
Their deepest matchup sample is 7 games against the Philadelphia 76ers, 4 of them over 7.5 rebounds.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Jayson Tatum has 1 logged game against the Dallas Mavericks, averaging 12.0 rebounds with a high of 12. Most recent first, those games read 12. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Rebounds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-11 | Toronto Raptors | Away | 7 |
| 2026-11-10 | Philadelphia 76ers | Away | 6 |
| 2026-11-08 | Milwaukee Bucks | Away | 4 |
| 2026-11-06 | Charlotte Hornets | Away | 8 |
| 2026-11-02 | Houston Rockets | Away | 6 |
| 2026-11-01 | Orlando Magic | Away | 4 |
| 2026-10-30 | Chicago Bulls | Home | 7 |
| 2026-10-27 | Brooklyn Nets | Home | 5 |
| 2026-10-26 | Chicago Bulls | Home | 7 |
| 2026-10-23 | New York Knicks | Home | 9 |
Every rebounds prop the books have posted for Jayson Tatum of the Boston Celtics, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
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The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
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All Jayson Tatum props and hit rates · Every NBA rebounds prop
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