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Over 33 NBA games since March 2026, Jayson Tatum has gone over the posted 26.5 points 6 times (18%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 23.5 points across those 33 games. Their last 5 (23.8) are in line with their 26.3 this season (11 games), so there is no recent move to read into. They have gone under 26.5 in each of their last 3. Against the Dallas Mavericks in this log they have 1 game, averaging 15.0. These are measured box-score results from Boston Celtics games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 6:10 PM ET, at home against the Dallas Mavericks. Last logged game November 11, 4 days before.
| Line | All 33 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 17.5 points | 28 of 33 (85%) | 10 of 10 (100%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 20.5 points | 23 of 33 (70%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 23.5 points | 16 of 33 (48%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 24.5 points | 11 of 33 (33%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 30.5 points | 5 of 33 (15%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Jayson Tatum right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Jayson Tatum has averaged 23.8 points over their last 5, against 23.5 across all 33 logged games, no meaningful move either way.
Jayson Tatum's points cluster tightly around it: most games land within 6.1 of 23.5. A narrow spread means the average is close to what a typical night actually looks like.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 23.8 points |
| Last 10 games | 27.6 points |
| All 33 logged games | 23.5 points |
| Best in the log | 40 |
| Worst in the log | 13 |
| Home (16 games) | 23.8 points |
| Away (17 games) | 23.4 points |
Jayson Tatum's highest in this log is 40 points against the Brooklyn Nets on 2026-10-27, and the lowest is 13 against the Detroit Pistons on 2026-10-20. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 23.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 7 of 16 (44%) |
| On the road | 9 of 17 (53%) |
| Against the Philadelphia 76ers | 4 of 7 (57%) |
Jayson Tatum has cleared 23.5 points at much the same rate home and away, 44% against 53%.
Their deepest matchup sample is 7 games against the Philadelphia 76ers, 4 of them over 23.5 points.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Jayson Tatum has 1 logged game against the Dallas Mavericks, averaging 15.0 points with a high of 15. Most recent first, those games read 15. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-11 | Toronto Raptors | Away | 24 |
| 2026-11-10 | Philadelphia 76ers | Away | 21 |
| 2026-11-08 | Milwaukee Bucks | Away | 21 |
| 2026-11-06 | Charlotte Hornets | Away | 34 |
| 2026-11-02 | Houston Rockets | Away | 19 |
| 2026-11-01 | Orlando Magic | Away | 32 |
| 2026-10-30 | Chicago Bulls | Home | 26 |
| 2026-10-27 | Brooklyn Nets | Home | 40 |
| 2026-10-26 | Chicago Bulls | Home | 23 |
| 2026-10-23 | New York Knicks | Home | 36 |
Every points prop the books have posted for Jayson Tatum of the Boston Celtics, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
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