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Over 28 NBA games since November 2025, Keegan Murray has gone over the posted 11.5 points 16 times (57%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 13.3 points across those 28 games. Their last 5 average 10.2, 23% below their 13.3 over their last 28 games. These are measured box-score results from Sacramento Kings games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 9:10 PM ET, at home against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Last logged game November 13, 2 days before.
| Line | All 28 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 points | 24 of 28 (86%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 10.5 points | 19 of 28 (68%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 12.5 points | 13 of 28 (46%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 16.5 points | 8 of 28 (29%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 20.5 points | 4 of 28 (14%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Keegan Murray right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Keegan Murray has averaged 10.2 points over their last 5, 23% below their 13.3 across all 28 logged games.
Keegan Murray's points vary moderately, a standard deviation of 6.7 around 13.3. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 10.2 points |
| Last 10 games | 10.7 points |
| All 28 logged games | 13.3 points |
| Best in the log | 26 |
| Worst in the log | 2 |
| Home (14 games) | 14.1 points |
| Away (14 games) | 12.4 points |
Keegan Murray's highest in this log is 26 points against the Houston Rockets on 2025-12-21, and the lowest is 2 against the LA Clippers on 2026-10-21. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 12.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 7 of 14 (50%) |
| On the road | 6 of 14 (43%) |
Keegan Murray has cleared 12.5 points at much the same rate home and away, 50% against 43%.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Portland Trail Blazers | Home | 16 |
| 2026-11-10 | Orlando Magic | Home | 11 |
| 2026-11-08 | Miami Heat | Home | 10 |
| 2026-10-23 | Portland Trail Blazers | Home | 12 |
| 2026-10-21 | LA Clippers | Away | 2 |
| 2026-02-25 | Houston Rockets | Away | 3 |
| 2026-02-23 | Memphis Grizzlies | Away | 6 |
| 2026-02-21 | San Antonio Spurs | Away | 20 |
| 2026-02-19 | Orlando Magic | Home | 15 |
| 2026-01-04 | Milwaukee Bucks | Home | 12 |
Every points prop the books have posted for Keegan Murray of the Sacramento Kings, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Keegan Murray props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop
How NBA prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.