Keldon Johnson Points props

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Over 118 NBA games since October 2025, Keldon Johnson has gone over the posted 9.5 points 71 times (60%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 11.6 points across those 118 games. Their last 5 (9.0) are in line with their 8.8 this season (13 games), so there is no recent move to read into. Against the Utah Jazz in this log they have 5 games, averaging 14.8. These are measured box-score results from San Antonio Spurs games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.

Data through Nov 13, 2026.

Keldon Johnson next game

Sunday, November 15, 5:10 PM ET, on the road against the Utah Jazz. Last logged game November 13, 2 days before.

How often does Keldon Johnson go over each points line?

Keldon Johnson: points hit rate by line, from official box scores
LineAll 118Last 10Last 5
Over 5.5 points99 of 118 (84%)6 of 10 (60%)3 of 5 (60%)
Over 8.5 points79 of 118 (67%)6 of 10 (60%)3 of 5 (60%)
Over 10.5 points63 of 118 (53%)3 of 10 (30%)1 of 5 (20%)
Over 14.5 points34 of 118 (29%)2 of 10 (20%)1 of 5 (20%)
Over 18.5 points17 of 118 (14%)0 of 10 (0%)0 of 5 (0%)

These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Keldon Johnson right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.

Keldon Johnson is trending down

Keldon Johnson has averaged 9.0 points over their last 5, 23% below their 11.6 across all 118 logged games.

Keldon Johnson's points vary moderately, a standard deviation of 6.1 around 11.6. That is an ordinary spread for this market.

Keldon Johnson: points by window and venue
WindowAverage
Last 5 games9.0 points
Last 10 games8.9 points
All 118 logged games11.6 points
Best in the log27
Worst in the log0
Home (59 games)12.1 points
Away (59 games)11.2 points

Keldon Johnson's highest in this log is 27 points against the Los Angeles Lakers on 2026-01-07, and the lowest is 0 against the Minnesota Timberwolves on 2026-05-15. Both are single games, not a range to expect.

Keldon Johnson points: home, rest and matchup splits

Keldon Johnson: share of games over 10.5 points, split by where and when they played
SplitOver 10.5 points
At home29 of 59 (49%)
On the road34 of 59 (58%)
On one day between games12 of 18 (67%)
On two or more days between games50 of 98 (51%)
Against the Oklahoma City Thunder5 of 13 (38%)
Against the Minnesota Timberwolves6 of 10 (60%)
Against the Portland Trail Blazers2 of 9 (22%)
Against the New York Knicks1 of 7 (14%)
Against the Dallas Mavericks3 of 6 (50%)
Against the Sacramento Kings4 of 5 (80%)

Keldon Johnson has cleared 10.5 points at much the same rate home and away, 49% against 58%.

Short rest has suited them, 67% over 18 games on a single day between games against 51% over 98 with more.

Their deepest matchup sample is 13 games against the Oklahoma City Thunder, 5 of them over 10.5 points.

A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.

Keldon Johnson against the Utah Jazz

Keldon Johnson has 5 logged games against the Utah Jazz, averaging 14.8 points with a high of 27. Most recent first, those games read 15, 9, 21, 2, 27. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.

Keldon Johnson points game log

Keldon Johnson: last 10 logged games, points
DateOpponentVenuePoints
2026-11-13Golden State WarriorsHome18
2026-11-11Chicago BullsAway10
2026-11-09Phoenix SunsAway4
2026-11-07Portland Trail BlazersAway10
2026-11-06Sacramento KingsAway3
2026-11-04Dallas MavericksHome4
2026-11-02Utah JazzHome15
2026-10-31Minnesota TimberwolvesHome2
2026-10-28Utah JazzAway9
2026-10-27Sacramento KingsHome14

Every points prop the books have posted for Keldon Johnson of the San Antonio Spurs, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.

How these numbers are made

Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.

Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.

Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.

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How Parlay Builder scores props, in full

How to read a hit rate, and what its denominator hides

Common questions

What is Keldon Johnson's points line for their next game?

It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.

How often does Keldon Johnson go over their points line?

The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.

Is Keldon Johnson a good points prop bet?

That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.

All Keldon Johnson props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop

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Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.