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With no line posted, over 87 NBA games since October 2025, LaMelo Ball has gone over a balanced line of 19.5 points 44 times (51%), and over their last 10 they have done it 6 times (60%). They average 20.0 points across those 87 games. Their last 5 average 21.4, 15% above their 18.6 this season (13 games). These are measured box-score results from Minnesota Timberwolves games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Line | All 87 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 12.5 points | 74 of 87 (85%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 16.5 points | 58 of 87 (67%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 19.5 points | 44 of 87 (51%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 22.5 points | 25 of 87 (29%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 27.5 points | 13 of 87 (15%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for LaMelo Ball right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
LaMelo Ball has averaged 21.4 points over their last 5, against 20.0 across all 87 logged games, no meaningful move either way.
LaMelo Ball's points vary moderately, a standard deviation of 7.1 around 20.0. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 21.4 points |
| Last 10 games | 19.4 points |
| All 87 logged games | 20.0 points |
| Best in the log | 38 |
| Worst in the log | 2 |
| Home (43 games) | 20.0 points |
| Away (44 games) | 20.0 points |
LaMelo Ball's highest in this log is 38 points against the Washington Wizards on 2025-10-26, and the lowest is 2 against the Cleveland Cavaliers on 2026-01-21. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 19.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 23 of 43 (53%) |
| On the road | 21 of 44 (48%) |
| On one day between games | 5 of 15 (33%) |
| On two or more days between games | 37 of 70 (53%) |
| Against the Orlando Magic | 3 of 6 (50%) |
| Against the Miami Heat | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Against the Toronto Raptors | 1 of 5 (20%) |
LaMelo Ball has cleared 19.5 points at much the same rate home and away, 53% against 48%.
Rest has suited them, 33% over 15 games on a single day between games against 53% over 70 with more.
Their deepest matchup sample is 6 games against the Orlando Magic, 3 of them over 19.5 points.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Chicago Bulls | Home | 19 |
| 2026-11-12 | Dallas Mavericks | Home | 22 |
| 2026-11-08 | Utah Jazz | Home | 24 |
| 2026-11-06 | New Orleans Pelicans | Away | 22 |
| 2026-11-04 | Houston Rockets | Away | 20 |
| 2026-11-02 | Milwaukee Bucks | Home | 34 |
| 2026-10-31 | San Antonio Spurs | Away | 10 |
| 2026-10-30 | LA Clippers | Home | 24 |
| 2026-10-28 | Golden State Warriors | Home | 8 |
| 2026-10-26 | Cleveland Cavaliers | Away | 11 |
Every points prop the books have posted for LaMelo Ball of the Minnesota Timberwolves, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All LaMelo Ball props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop
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