This page is loading and it needs JavaScript. The written page below is served without it.
With no line posted, over 89 NBA games since October 2025, Matas Buzelis has gone over a balanced line of 15.5 points 44 times (49%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 15.9 points across those 89 games. Their last 5 (14.6) are in line with their 13.7 this season (12 games), so there is no recent move to read into. These are measured box-score results from Chicago Bulls games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Line | All 89 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 points | 76 of 89 (85%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 12.5 points | 63 of 89 (71%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 15.5 points | 44 of 89 (49%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 19.5 points | 25 of 89 (28%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 21.5 points | 11 of 89 (12%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Matas Buzelis right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Matas Buzelis has averaged 14.6 points over their last 5, against 15.9 across all 89 logged games, no meaningful move either way.
Matas Buzelis's points vary moderately, a standard deviation of 6.6 around 15.9. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 14.6 points |
| Last 10 games | 14.0 points |
| All 89 logged games | 15.9 points |
| Best in the log | 41 |
| Worst in the log | 2 |
| Home (45 games) | 15.8 points |
| Away (44 games) | 16.0 points |
Matas Buzelis's highest in this log is 41 points against the Golden State Warriors on 2026-03-10, and the lowest is 2 against the Miami Heat on 2026-02-01. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 15.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 22 of 45 (49%) |
| On the road | 22 of 44 (50%) |
| On one day between games | 6 of 15 (40%) |
| On two or more days between games | 36 of 72 (50%) |
| Against the New York Knicks | 1 of 6 (17%) |
| Against the Milwaukee Bucks | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Against the Philadelphia 76ers | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Against the Boston Celtics | 1 of 5 (20%) |
Matas Buzelis has cleared 15.5 points at much the same rate home and away, 49% against 50%.
A day between games has not moved the number much: 40% on one day, 50% on two or more.
Their deepest matchup sample is 6 games against the New York Knicks, 1 of them over 15.5 points.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Minnesota Timberwolves | Away | 18 |
| 2026-11-13 | Atlanta Hawks | Home | 11 |
| 2026-11-11 | San Antonio Spurs | Home | 13 |
| 2026-11-08 | Philadelphia 76ers | Home | 19 |
| 2026-11-04 | New York Knicks | Away | 12 |
| 2026-11-02 | Philadelphia 76ers | Away | 4 |
| 2026-10-30 | Boston Celtics | Away | 14 |
| 2026-10-28 | New York Knicks | Home | 17 |
| 2026-10-26 | Boston Celtics | Away | 11 |
| 2026-10-24 | Washington Wizards | Home | 21 |
Every points prop the books have posted for Matas Buzelis of the Chicago Bulls, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
You must be 21+ (or older, where your jurisdiction sets a higher age) to bet. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) for free, confidential help.
It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Matas Buzelis props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop
How NBA prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.