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Over 84 NBA games since October 2025, Naji Marshall has gone over the posted 10.5 points 54 times (64%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 14.8 points across those 84 games. Their last 5 average 9.2, 19% below their 11.4 this season (10 games). Against the Boston Celtics in this log they have 2 games, averaging 11.0. These are measured box-score results from Dallas Mavericks games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 6:10 PM ET, on the road against the Boston Celtics. Last logged game November 14, 1 day before.
| Line | All 84 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6.5 points | 74 of 84 (88%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 9.5 points | 56 of 84 (67%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 14.5 points | 43 of 84 (51%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 17.5 points | 25 of 84 (30%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 22.5 points | 11 of 84 (13%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Naji Marshall right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Naji Marshall has averaged 9.2 points over their last 5, 38% below their 14.8 across all 84 logged games.
Naji Marshall's points vary moderately, a standard deviation of 7.5 around 14.8. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 9.2 points |
| Last 10 games | 11.4 points |
| All 84 logged games | 14.8 points |
| Best in the log | 36 |
| Worst in the log | 3 |
| Home (42 games) | 14.3 points |
| Away (42 games) | 15.3 points |
Naji Marshall's highest in this log is 36 points against the Sacramento Kings on 2026-02-26, and the lowest is 3 against the Indiana Pacers on 2025-10-29. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 14.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 19 of 42 (45%) |
| On the road | 24 of 42 (57%) |
| On one day between games | 7 of 14 (50%) |
| On two or more days between games | 35 of 68 (51%) |
| Against the Utah Jazz | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Against the Houston Rockets | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Against the San Antonio Spurs | 2 of 5 (40%) |
Naji Marshall has cleared 14.5 points 12 points more often on the road, 45% in 42 home games against 57% in 42 away.
A day between games has not moved the number much: 50% on one day, 51% on two or more.
Their deepest matchup sample is 5 games against the Utah Jazz, 4 of them over 14.5 points.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Naji Marshall has 2 logged games against the Boston Celtics, averaging 11.0 points with a high of 13. Most recent first, those games read 13, 9. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Cleveland Cavaliers | Away | 12 |
| 2026-11-12 | Minnesota Timberwolves | Away | 13 |
| 2026-11-09 | Indiana Pacers | Home | 6 |
| 2026-11-08 | Brooklyn Nets | Home | 8 |
| 2026-11-06 | Utah Jazz | Home | 7 |
| 2026-11-04 | San Antonio Spurs | Away | 22 |
| 2026-11-02 | Sacramento Kings | Home | 5 |
| 2026-10-24 | San Antonio Spurs | Home | 10 |
| 2026-10-23 | Indiana Pacers | Away | 15 |
| 2026-10-21 | Houston Rockets | Away | 16 |
Every points prop the books have posted for Naji Marshall of the Dallas Mavericks, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Naji Marshall props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop
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