This page is loading and it needs JavaScript. The written page below is served without it.
Over 97 NBA games since October 2025, Nickeil Alexander-Walker has gone over the posted 21.5 points 37 times (38%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 20.5 points across those 97 games. Their last 5 (22.0) are in line with their 21.5 this season (13 games), so there is no recent move to read into. They have gone under 21.5 in each of their last 3. Against the Milwaukee Bucks in this log they have 3 games, averaging 25.0. These are measured box-score results from Atlanta Hawks games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 8:10 PM ET, on the road against the Milwaukee Bucks. Last logged game November 13, 2 days before.
| Line | All 97 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 13.5 points | 82 of 97 (85%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 16.5 points | 69 of 97 (71%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 20.5 points | 46 of 97 (47%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 23.5 points | 27 of 97 (28%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 27.5 points | 15 of 97 (15%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Nickeil Alexander-Walker right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker has averaged 22.0 points over their last 5, against 20.5 across all 97 logged games, no meaningful move either way.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker's points cluster tightly around it: most games land within 6.9 of 20.5. A narrow spread means the average is close to what a typical night actually looks like.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 22.0 points |
| Last 10 games | 21.6 points |
| All 97 logged games | 20.5 points |
| Best in the log | 41 |
| Worst in the log | 8 |
| Home (48 games) | 20.5 points |
| Away (49 games) | 20.4 points |
Nickeil Alexander-Walker's highest in this log is 41 points against the Orlando Magic on 2026-03-16, and the lowest is 8 against the Washington Wizards on 2025-11-25. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 20.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 20 of 48 (42%) |
| On the road | 26 of 49 (53%) |
| On one day between games | 7 of 15 (47%) |
| On two or more days between games | 38 of 80 (48%) |
| Against the New York Knicks | 3 of 9 (33%) |
| Against the Cleveland Cavaliers | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Against the Orlando Magic | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Against the Charlotte Hornets | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Against the Washington Wizards | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Against the Brooklyn Nets | 1 of 5 (20%) |
Nickeil Alexander-Walker has cleared 20.5 points at much the same rate home and away, 42% against 53%.
A day between games has not moved the number much: 47% on one day, 48% on two or more.
Their deepest matchup sample is 9 games against the New York Knicks, 3 of them over 20.5 points.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker has 3 logged games against the Milwaukee Bucks, averaging 25.0 points with a high of 32. Most recent first, those games read 20, 23, 32. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Chicago Bulls | Away | 16 |
| 2026-11-09 | Los Angeles Lakers | Home | 20 |
| 2026-11-07 | Brooklyn Nets | Home | 20 |
| 2026-11-06 | Washington Wizards | Home | 28 |
| 2026-11-04 | Washington Wizards | Away | 26 |
| 2026-11-02 | Indiana Pacers | Away | 34 |
| 2026-10-31 | New Orleans Pelicans | Away | 12 |
| 2026-10-29 | Cleveland Cavaliers | Home | 25 |
| 2026-10-28 | Miami Heat | Home | 23 |
| 2026-10-26 | Houston Rockets | Away | 12 |
Every points prop the books have posted for Nickeil Alexander-Walker of the Atlanta Hawks, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
You must be 21+ (or older, where your jurisdiction sets a higher age) to bet. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) for free, confidential help.
It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Nickeil Alexander-Walker props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop
How NBA prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.