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With no line posted, over 55 NBA games since October 2025, Nikola Jović has gone over a balanced line of 4.5 points 30 times (55%), and over their last 10 they have done it 3 times (30%). They average 6.6 points across those 55 games. Their last 5 average 2.0, 70% below their 6.6 over their last 55 games. They have gone under 4.5 in each of their last 4. These are measured box-score results from Miami Heat games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Wednesday, November 25, 5:10 PM ET, on the road against the Philadelphia 76ers. Last logged game November 14, 11 days before.
| Line | All 55 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 points | 46 of 55 (84%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 2.5 points | 36 of 55 (65%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 4.5 points | 30 of 55 (55%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 8.5 points | 16 of 55 (29%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 12.5 points | 8 of 55 (15%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Nikola Jović right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Nikola Jović has averaged 2.0 points over their last 5, 70% below their 6.6 across all 55 logged games.
Nikola Jović's points swing widely: a standard deviation of 6.6 on a 6.6 average. A wide spread means the average describes the middle of a broad range rather than a typical night.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2.0 points |
| Last 10 games | 2.4 points |
| All 55 logged games | 6.6 points |
| Best in the log | 29 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (27 games) | 7.0 points |
| Away (28 games) | 6.2 points |
Nikola Jović's highest in this log is 29 points against the Portland Trail Blazers on 2025-11-08, and the lowest is 0 against the Indiana Pacers on 2026-10-30. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 4.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 14 of 27 (52%) |
| On the road | 16 of 28 (57%) |
| On one day between games | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| On two or more days between games | 21 of 42 (50%) |
Nikola Jović has cleared 4.5 points at much the same rate home and away, 52% against 57%.
Short rest has suited them, 80% over 10 games on a single day between games against 50% over 42 with more.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Detroit Pistons | Home | 2 |
| 2026-11-05 | Golden State Warriors | Away | 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | Los Angeles Lakers | Away | 2 |
| 2026-10-30 | Indiana Pacers | Home | 0 |
| 2026-10-28 | Atlanta Hawks | Away | 5 |
| 2026-10-24 | Charlotte Hornets | Away | 0 |
| 2026-10-23 | Detroit Pistons | Home | 5 |
| 2026-10-21 | Minnesota Timberwolves | Home | 4 |
| 2026-04-04 | Washington Wizards | Home | 5 |
| 2026-03-21 | Houston Rockets | Away | 0 |
Nikola Jović of the Miami Heat in points, measured from official NBA box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. No line or price is printed on this page; when the board carries one, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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None is printed on this page, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All Nikola Jović props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop
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Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.