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Over 34 NBA games since October 2025, Obi Toppin has gone over the posted 9.5 points 22 times (65%), and over their last 10 they have done it 8 times (80%). They average 11.9 points across those 34 games. Their last 5 average 9.6, 23% below their 12.4 this season (10 games). Against the Philadelphia 76ers in this log they have 2 games, averaging 10.0. These are measured box-score results from Indiana Pacers games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 1:10 PM ET, on the road against the Philadelphia 76ers. Last logged game November 13, 2 days before.
| Line | All 34 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 points | 29 of 34 (85%) | 10 of 10 (100%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 8.5 points | 25 of 34 (74%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 11.5 points | 16 of 34 (47%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 14.5 points | 10 of 34 (29%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 17.5 points | 6 of 34 (18%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Obi Toppin right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Obi Toppin has averaged 9.6 points over their last 5, 19% below their 11.9 across all 34 logged games.
Obi Toppin's points vary moderately, a standard deviation of 6.0 around 11.9. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 9.6 points |
| Last 10 games | 12.4 points |
| All 34 logged games | 11.9 points |
| Best in the log | 26 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (14 games) | 12.0 points |
| Away (20 games) | 11.8 points |
Obi Toppin's highest in this log is 26 points against the Brooklyn Nets on 2026-04-09, and the lowest is 0 against the LA Clippers on 2026-03-04. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 11.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 8 of 14 (57%) |
| On the road | 8 of 20 (40%) |
Obi Toppin has cleared 11.5 points 17 points more often at home, 57% in 14 home games against 40% in 20 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Obi Toppin has 2 logged games against the Philadelphia 76ers, averaging 10.0 points with a high of 13. Most recent first, those games read 13, 7. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | New York Knicks | Home | 9 |
| 2026-11-11 | Washington Wizards | Home | 8 |
| 2026-11-09 | Dallas Mavericks | Away | 10 |
| 2026-11-07 | Denver Nuggets | Away | 10 |
| 2026-11-04 | Memphis Grizzlies | Away | 11 |
| 2026-10-28 | Philadelphia 76ers | Home | 13 |
| 2026-10-26 | Milwaukee Bucks | Away | 14 |
| 2026-10-25 | Brooklyn Nets | Away | 16 |
| 2026-10-23 | Dallas Mavericks | Home | 13 |
| 2026-10-21 | New Orleans Pelicans | Away | 20 |
Every points prop the books have posted for Obi Toppin of the Indiana Pacers, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Obi Toppin props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop
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