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Over 98 NBA games since October 2025, Payton Pritchard has gone over the posted 14.5 points 54 times (55%), and over their last 10 they have done it 3 times (30%). They average 16.4 points across those 98 games. Their last 5 (13.2) are in line with their 13.3 this season (12 games), so there is no recent move to read into. Against the Dallas Mavericks in this log they have 2 games, averaging 22.0. These are measured box-score results from Boston Celtics games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 6:10 PM ET, at home against the Dallas Mavericks. Last logged game November 11, 4 days before.
| Line | All 98 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 points | 83 of 98 (85%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 11.5 points | 70 of 98 (71%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 15.5 points | 50 of 98 (51%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 20.5 points | 29 of 98 (30%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 26.5 points | 15 of 98 (15%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Payton Pritchard right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Payton Pritchard has averaged 13.2 points over their last 5, 20% below their 16.4 across all 98 logged games.
Payton Pritchard's points vary moderately, a standard deviation of 8.6 around 16.4. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 13.2 points |
| Last 10 games | 13.9 points |
| All 98 logged games | 16.4 points |
| Best in the log | 42 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (49 games) | 15.3 points |
| Away (49 games) | 17.5 points |
Payton Pritchard's highest in this log is 42 points against the Cleveland Cavaliers on 2025-11-30, and the lowest is 0 against the Charlotte Hornets on 2026-03-04. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 15.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 23 of 49 (47%) |
| On the road | 27 of 49 (55%) |
| On one day between games | 8 of 16 (50%) |
| On two or more days between games | 40 of 80 (50%) |
| Against the Philadelphia 76ers | 3 of 12 (25%) |
| Against the Milwaukee Bucks | 2 of 6 (33%) |
| Against the Chicago Bulls | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Against the Detroit Pistons | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Against the Brooklyn Nets | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Against the Toronto Raptors | 3 of 5 (60%) |
Payton Pritchard has cleared 15.5 points at much the same rate home and away, 47% against 55%.
A day between games has not moved the number much: 50% on one day, 50% on two or more.
Their deepest matchup sample is 12 games against the Philadelphia 76ers, 3 of them over 15.5 points.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Payton Pritchard has 2 logged games against the Dallas Mavericks, averaging 22.0 points with a high of 26. Most recent first, those games read 18, 26. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-11 | Toronto Raptors | Away | 14 |
| 2026-11-10 | Philadelphia 76ers | Away | 18 |
| 2026-11-08 | Milwaukee Bucks | Away | 12 |
| 2026-11-06 | Charlotte Hornets | Away | 12 |
| 2026-11-04 | Milwaukee Bucks | Home | 10 |
| 2026-11-02 | Houston Rockets | Away | 4 |
| 2026-11-01 | Orlando Magic | Away | 7 |
| 2026-10-30 | Chicago Bulls | Home | 30 |
| 2026-10-27 | Brooklyn Nets | Home | 4 |
| 2026-10-26 | Chicago Bulls | Home | 28 |
Every points prop the books have posted for Payton Pritchard of the Boston Celtics, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
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