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With no line posted, over 65 NBA games since October 2025, Peyton Watson has gone over a balanced line of 12.5 points 32 times (49%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 13.9 points across those 65 games. Their last 5 (9.8) are in line with their 10.4 this season (11 games), so there is no recent move to read into. These are measured box-score results from Cleveland Cavaliers games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Line | All 65 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 points | 57 of 65 (88%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 9.5 points | 45 of 65 (69%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 12.5 points | 32 of 65 (49%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 18.5 points | 19 of 65 (29%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 22.5 points | 10 of 65 (15%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Peyton Watson right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Peyton Watson has averaged 9.8 points over their last 5, 29% below their 13.9 across all 65 logged games.
Peyton Watson's points vary moderately, a standard deviation of 8.3 around 13.9. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 9.8 points |
| Last 10 games | 10.6 points |
| All 65 logged games | 13.9 points |
| Best in the log | 35 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (31 games) | 13.7 points |
| Away (34 games) | 14.1 points |
Peyton Watson's highest in this log is 35 points against the Washington Wizards on 2026-01-22, and the lowest is 0 against the Sacramento Kings on 2025-11-11. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 12.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 18 of 31 (58%) |
| On the road | 14 of 34 (41%) |
| On one day between games | 5 of 12 (42%) |
| On two or more days between games | 26 of 50 (52%) |
Peyton Watson has cleared 12.5 points 17 points more often at home, 58% in 31 home games against 41% in 34 away.
A day between games has not moved the number much: 42% on one day, 52% on two or more.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Miami Heat | Away | 4 |
| 2026-11-11 | New York Knicks | Away | 7 |
| 2026-11-09 | Charlotte Hornets | Away | 13 |
| 2026-11-07 | New York Knicks | Home | 12 |
| 2026-11-06 | Philadelphia 76ers | Home | 13 |
| 2026-10-31 | Milwaukee Bucks | Away | 5 |
| 2026-10-29 | Atlanta Hawks | Away | 4 |
| 2026-10-28 | Washington Wizards | Home | 22 |
| 2026-10-26 | Minnesota Timberwolves | Home | 15 |
| 2026-10-24 | Brooklyn Nets | Home | 11 |
Every points prop the books have posted for Peyton Watson of the Cleveland Cavaliers, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Peyton Watson props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop
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