Tolu Smith player props and hit rates

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With no line posted, over 26 NBA games since October 2025, Tolu Smith has gone over a balanced line of 1.5 points 15 times (58%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 2.7 points across those 26 games. Their last 5 average 1.6, 40% below their 2.7 over their last 26 games. These are measured box-score results from Detroit Pistons games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.

This page is the measured record from official box scores. When the live board carries a line for this player, it loads at the top of this page, at the same address.

Data through Nov 14, 2026.

Tolu Smith next game

Friday, November 20, 7:40 PM ET, at home against the Toronto Raptors. Last logged game November 14, 6 days before.

Every market measured for Tolu Smith

Tolu Smith: measured history by market
MarketLogged gamesAverageMost balanced lineHit rate there
Points262.7 pointsOver 1.515 of 26 (58%)
Rebounds262.5 reboundsOver 1.514 of 26 (54%)
Assists260.5 assistsOver 0.510 of 26 (38%)
Steals260.2 stealsOver 0.54 of 26 (15%)
Blocks260.3 blocksOver 0.54 of 26 (15%)
Turnovers260.4 turnoversOver 0.59 of 26 (35%)
Points + Rebounds + Assists265.7 combined points, rebounds and assistsOver 3.514 of 26 (54%)
Points + Rebounds265.1 combined points and reboundsOver 3.512 of 26 (46%)
Points + Assists263.2 combined points and assistsOver 2.513 of 26 (50%)
Rebounds + Assists263.0 combined rebounds and assistsOver 1.516 of 26 (62%)
Blocks + Steals260.5 combined blocks and stealsOver 0.57 of 26 (27%)

Tolu Smith line ladder by market

Tolu Smith: how often each line was cleared, lines set from the player's own log
MarketLineAll loggedLast 10
PointsOver 0.517 of 26 (65%)6 of 10 (60%)
PointsOver 1.515 of 26 (58%)4 of 10 (40%)
PointsOver 3.58 of 26 (31%)1 of 10 (10%)
ReboundsOver 0.521 of 26 (81%)9 of 10 (90%)
ReboundsOver 1.514 of 26 (54%)4 of 10 (40%)
ReboundsOver 2.58 of 26 (31%)1 of 10 (10%)
AssistsOver 0.510 of 26 (38%)1 of 10 (10%)
AssistsOver 1.53 of 26 (12%)0 of 10 (0%)
StealsOver 0.54 of 26 (15%)2 of 10 (20%)
BlocksOver 0.54 of 26 (15%)1 of 10 (10%)
BlocksOver 1.52 of 26 (8%)1 of 10 (10%)
TurnoversOver 0.59 of 26 (35%)3 of 10 (30%)
Points + Rebounds + AssistsOver 1.519 of 26 (73%)7 of 10 (70%)
Points + Rebounds + AssistsOver 3.514 of 26 (54%)4 of 10 (40%)
Points + Rebounds + AssistsOver 6.57 of 26 (27%)0 of 10 (0%)
Points + ReboundsOver 1.519 of 26 (73%)7 of 10 (70%)
Points + ReboundsOver 3.512 of 26 (46%)3 of 10 (30%)
Points + ReboundsOver 5.59 of 26 (35%)1 of 10 (10%)

Tolu Smith's last 8 games, market by market

Every market measured for Tolu Smith, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.

Tolu Smith: recent games across every measured market
DateOpponentVenuePointsReboundsAssistsStealsBlocksTurnoversPoints + Rebounds + AssistsPoints + ReboundsPoints + AssistsRebounds + AssistsBlocks + Steals
2026-11-14Miami HeatAway32000055320
2026-11-04Philadelphia 76ersHome11002022112
2026-11-02Charlotte HornetsAway02010022021
2026-10-30Brooklyn NetsAway21100043320
2026-10-28Charlotte HornetsHome21000033210
2026-10-27New York KnicksAway14000155140
2026-10-25Philadelphia 76ersAway01000111010
2026-10-23Miami HeatAway01000011010

Tolu Smith against the Toronto Raptors

Tolu Smith: logged games against the Toronto Raptors, by market
MarketMeetingsAverage in themHighAverage, all games
Assists12.020.5
Blocks10.000.3
Blocks + Steals10.000.5
Points13.032.7
Points + Assists15.053.2
Points + Rebounds16.065.1
Points + Rebounds + Assists18.085.7
Rebounds13.032.5
Rebounds + Assists15.053.0
Steals10.000.2
Turnovers11.010.4

Tolu Smith points: the shape of the log

Counted from the same 26 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.

Where Tolu Smith's points have landed

Tolu Smith: points by percentile over 26 logged games
PercentilePoints
Lowest logged game0
25th percentile0
Median2
75th percentile4
Highest logged game11

21 of 26 games (81%) landed between 0 and 4; 15 (58%) finished at or above the 2 median, and the spread from 0 to 11 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Tolu Smith actually recorded.

Tolu Smith by month

Tolu Smith: points by calendar month, newest first
MonthLogged gamesAverage
November 202631.3
October 202651
May 202631.3
April 202634.3
March 202652
January 202633

By days since the previous logged game

Tolu Smith: points by the gap back to the last game in this log
GapLogged gamesAverage
2 days91.3
3 to 4 days34.7
5 or more days112.5

The gap is the distance to the previous game in this log, not a rest figure. A box score does not record a game a player sat out inside it.

Opponents Tolu Smith has faced most

Tolu Smith: points against the opponents this log has seen more than once
OpponentLogged gamesAverageBest
Cleveland Cavaliers3511
New York Knicks31.74
Orlando Magic248
Chicago Bulls236
Miami Heat21.53
Charlotte Hornets212

Most-faced in this log is Cleveland Cavaliers, 3 games at 5, best of 11. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.

Against their own 2 median rather than a posted line, Tolu Smith's longest run at or above it is 6 games and the run open at the newest of the 26 is 1. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.

Tolu Smith points

Tolu Smith has gone over 1.5 points in 15 of 26 logged games (58%).

  • Over 0.5 points: 17 of 26 (65%)
  • Over 1.5 points: 15 of 26 (58%)
  • Over 3.5 points: 8 of 26 (31%)

At home they average 3.1 over 12 games; away, 2.3 over 14.

Tolu Smith points: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Tolu Smith rebounds

Tolu Smith has gone over 1.5 rebounds in 14 of 26 logged games (54%).

  • Over 0.5 rebounds: 21 of 26 (81%)
  • Over 1.5 rebounds: 14 of 26 (54%)
  • Over 2.5 rebounds: 8 of 26 (31%)

At home they average 2.8 over 12 games; away, 2.2 over 14.

Tolu Smith rebounds: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Tolu Smith assists

Tolu Smith has gone over 0.5 assists in 10 of 26 logged games (38%).

  • Over 0.5 assists: 10 of 26 (38%)
  • Over 1.5 assists: 3 of 26 (12%)

At home they average 0.5 over 12 games; away, 0.6 over 14.

Tolu Smith assists: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Tolu Smith steals

Tolu Smith has gone over 0.5 steals in 4 of 26 logged games (15%).

  • Over 0.5 steals: 4 of 26 (15%)

At home they average 0.3 over 12 games; away, 0.1 over 14.

Tolu Smith blocks

Tolu Smith has gone over 0.5 blocks in 4 of 26 logged games (15%).

  • Over 0.5 blocks: 4 of 26 (15%)
  • Over 1.5 blocks: 2 of 26 (8%)

At home they average 0.6 over 12 games; away, 0.1 over 14.

Tolu Smith blocks: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Tolu Smith turnovers

Tolu Smith has gone over 0.5 turnovers in 9 of 26 logged games (35%).

  • Over 0.5 turnovers: 9 of 26 (35%)

At home they average 0.5 over 12 games; away, 0.3 over 14.

Tolu Smith points + rebounds + assists

Tolu Smith has gone over 3.5 combined points, rebounds and assists in 14 of 26 logged games (54%).

  • Over 1.5 combined points, rebounds and assists: 19 of 26 (73%)
  • Over 3.5 combined points, rebounds and assists: 14 of 26 (54%)
  • Over 6.5 combined points, rebounds and assists: 7 of 26 (27%)

At home they average 6.3 over 12 games; away, 5.1 over 14.

Tolu Smith points + rebounds

Tolu Smith has gone over 3.5 combined points and rebounds in 12 of 26 logged games (46%).

  • Over 1.5 combined points and rebounds: 19 of 26 (73%)
  • Over 3.5 combined points and rebounds: 12 of 26 (46%)
  • Over 5.5 combined points and rebounds: 9 of 26 (35%)

At home they average 5.8 over 12 games; away, 4.5 over 14.

Tolu Smith points + assists

Tolu Smith has gone over 2.5 combined points and assists in 13 of 26 logged games (50%).

  • Over 0.5 combined points and assists: 18 of 26 (69%)
  • Over 2.5 combined points and assists: 13 of 26 (50%)
  • Over 4.5 combined points and assists: 7 of 26 (27%)

At home they average 3.6 over 12 games; away, 2.9 over 14.

Tolu Smith rebounds + assists

Tolu Smith has gone over 1.5 combined rebounds and assists in 16 of 26 logged games (62%).

  • Over 1.5 combined rebounds and assists: 16 of 26 (62%)
  • Over 2.5 combined rebounds and assists: 9 of 26 (35%)
  • Over 3.5 combined rebounds and assists: 8 of 26 (31%)

At home they average 3.3 over 12 games; away, 2.8 over 14.

Tolu Smith blocks + steals

Tolu Smith has gone over 0.5 combined blocks and steals in 7 of 26 logged games (27%).

  • Over 0.5 combined blocks and steals: 7 of 26 (27%)
  • Over 1.5 combined blocks and steals: 2 of 26 (8%)

At home they average 0.8 over 12 games; away, 0.1 over 14.

Prop history for Tolu Smith of the Detroit Pistons. What follows is the record in Points, Rebounds, Assists, Steals, Blocks, Turnovers, Points + Rebounds + Assists, Points + Rebounds, Points + Assists, Rebounds + Assists and Blocks + Steals: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price. When the live board carries a line for this player, it appears at the top of this page.

How these numbers are made

Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.

Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.

Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.

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How Parlay Builder scores props, in full

How to read a hit rate, and what its denominator hides

Common questions

Are there Tolu Smith props available right now?

This page keeps the measured history. When the live board carries a line for Tolu Smith, it appears at the top of this page, and the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.

What does Tolu Smith's game log actually show?

How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.

Is this Tolu Smith history a prediction?

No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.

How NBA prop markets behave, measured across the league

Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.