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Over 28 NBA games since October 2025, Trae Young has gone over the posted 16.5 points 17 times (61%), and over their last 10 they have done it 6 times (60%). They average 18.8 points across those 28 games. Their last 5 (19.8) are in line with their 19.7 this season (13 games), so there is no recent move to read into. These are measured box-score results from Washington Wizards games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 7:10 PM ET, at home against the Houston Rockets. Last logged game November 12, 3 days before.
| Line | All 28 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 points | 24 of 28 (86%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 14.5 points | 21 of 28 (75%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 18.5 points | 15 of 28 (54%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 21.5 points | 10 of 28 (36%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 23.5 points | 5 of 28 (18%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Trae Young right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Trae Young has averaged 19.8 points over their last 5, against 18.8 across all 28 logged games, no meaningful move either way.
Trae Young's points vary moderately, a standard deviation of 7.7 around 18.8. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 19.8 points |
| Last 10 games | 18.9 points |
| All 28 logged games | 18.8 points |
| Best in the log | 37 |
| Worst in the log | 4 |
| Home (13 games) | 21.8 points |
| Away (15 games) | 16.1 points |
Trae Young's highest in this log is 37 points against the Detroit Pistons on 2026-11-12, and the lowest is 4 against the Oklahoma City Thunder on 2026-11-07. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 18.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 9 of 13 (69%) |
| On the road | 6 of 15 (40%) |
| On one day between games | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| On two or more days between games | 11 of 19 (58%) |
Trae Young has cleared 18.5 points 29 points more often at home, 69% in 13 home games against 40% in 15 away.
Rest has suited them, 40% over 5 games on a single day between games against 58% over 19 with more.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 | Detroit Pistons | Home | 37 |
| 2026-11-11 | Indiana Pacers | Away | 15 |
| 2026-11-09 | Detroit Pistons | Away | 20 |
| 2026-11-07 | Oklahoma City Thunder | Away | 4 |
| 2026-11-06 | Atlanta Hawks | Away | 23 |
| 2026-11-04 | Atlanta Hawks | Home | 18 |
| 2026-11-02 | Orlando Magic | Away | 15 |
| 2026-10-30 | Charlotte Hornets | Home | 21 |
| 2026-10-28 | Cleveland Cavaliers | Away | 14 |
| 2026-10-26 | Charlotte Hornets | Away | 22 |
Every points prop the books have posted for Trae Young of the Washington Wizards, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Trae Young props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop
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