A.J. Brown player props and hit rates

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A.J. Brown has recorded a anytime touchdown in 5 of 17 logged NFL games (29%), including 3 of their last 10. That is a record of games already played, not a forecast of the next one.

No NFL props are posted right now, so this page is the measured history on its own. The live board returns here automatically the morning after the books open this market again — the page is rebuilt daily and the URL does not change.

Measured history as of 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily; lines and prices load live.

Every market A.J. Brown is priced in

A.J. Brown — measured history by market
MarketLogged gamesAverageMost balanced lineHit rate there
Receiving Yards1762.0 receiving yardsOver 43.59 of 17 (53%)
Receptions174.9 receptionsOver 4.510 of 17 (59%)
Targets177.8 targetsOver 8.58 of 17 (47%)
Receiving TDs170.4 receiving touchdownsOver 0.55 of 17 (29%)
Anytime Touchdown175 games——

A.J. Brown's last 8 games, market by market

Every market A.J. Brown is currently priced in, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.

A.J. Brown — recent games across every priced market
DateOpponentVenueReceiving YardsReceptionsTargetsReceiving TDsAnytime Touchdown
2026-09-10Seattle SeahawksAway263400
2026-01-11San Francisco 49ersHome253700
2025-12-28Buffalo BillsHome685700
2025-12-20Washington CommandersAway9591200
2025-12-14Las Vegas RaidersAway412211
2025-12-09Los Angeles ChargersHome10061300
2025-11-28Chicago BearsAway132101221
2025-11-23Dallas CowboysHome11081011

A.J. Brown anytime touchdown: the shape of the log

Counted from the same 17 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.

A.J. Brown by month

A.J. Brown — anytime touchdown by calendar month, newest first
MonthLogged gamesGames with one
December 202544 of 4 games
November 202544 of 4 games
October 202533 of 3 games
September 202544 of 4 games

A.J. Brown receiving yards

A.J. Brown has gone over 43.5 receiving yards in 9 of 17 logged games (53%).

  • Over 26.5 receiving yards: 12 of 17 (71%)
  • Over 43.5 receiving yards: 9 of 17 (53%)
  • Over 95.5 receiving yards: 5 of 17 (29%)

At home they average 59.5 over 8 games; away, 64.2 over 9.

A.J. Brown receiving yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

A.J. Brown receptions

A.J. Brown has gone over 4.5 receptions in 10 of 17 logged games (59%).

  • Over 3.5 receptions: 11 of 17 (65%)
  • Over 4.5 receptions: 10 of 17 (59%)
  • Over 6.5 receptions: 4 of 17 (24%)

At home they average 4.5 over 8 games; away, 5.3 over 9.

A.J. Brown receptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

A.J. Brown targets

A.J. Brown has gone over 8.5 targets in 8 of 17 logged games (47%).

  • Over 6.5 targets: 12 of 17 (71%)
  • Over 8.5 targets: 8 of 17 (47%)
  • Over 9.5 targets: 6 of 17 (35%)

At home they average 7.4 over 8 games; away, 8.1 over 9.

A.J. Brown targets: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

A.J. Brown receiving TDs

A.J. Brown has gone over 0.5 receiving touchdowns in 5 of 17 logged games (29%).

  • Over 0.5 receiving touchdowns: 5 of 17 (29%)
  • Over 1.5 receiving touchdowns: 2 of 17 (12%)

At home they average 0.3 over 8 games; away, 0.6 over 9.

A.J. Brown receiving TDs: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

A.J. Brown anytime touchdown

A.J. Brown has a anytime touchdown in 5 of 17 logged games.

At home they average 0.3 over 8 games; away, 0.3 over 9.

A.J. Brown anytime touchdown: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Prop history for A.J. Brown of the New England Patriots. Nothing is priced right now, so what follows is the record in Receiving Yards, Receptions, Targets, Receiving TDs and Anytime Touchdown: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price — when the books post this market again the live board appears at the top of this page.

How these numbers are made

Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.

Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.

Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.

You must be 21+ (or older, where your jurisdiction sets a higher age) to bet. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.

How Parlay Builder scores props, in full

How to read a hit rate, and what its denominator hides

Common questions

Are there A.J. Brown props available right now?

Not while the NFL board is down. This page keeps the measured history in the meantime and the live board reappears at the top of it the morning after the books post this market — the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.

What does A.J. Brown's game log actually show?

How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.

Is this A.J. Brown history a prediction?

No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price because no price is posted. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.

How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league

Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates, edges and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.