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Over 25 NFL games since October 2025, Drake Maye has gone over the posted 4.5 carries 16 times (64%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 6.1 carries across those 25 games. Their last 5 average 4.8, 21% below their 6.1 over their last 25 games. These are measured box-score results from New England Patriots games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 9:30 AM ET, on the road against the Detroit Lions. Last logged game November 8, 7 days before.
| Line | All 25 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 carries | 23 of 25 (92%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 4.5 carries | 16 of 25 (64%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 5.5 carries | 13 of 25 (52%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 7.5 carries | 8 of 25 (32%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 8.5 carries | 4 of 25 (16%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Drake Maye right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Drake Maye has averaged 4.8 carries over their last 5, 21% below their 6.1 across all 25 logged games.
Drake Maye's rush attempts vary moderately, a standard deviation of 2.4 around 6.1. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4.8 carries |
| Last 10 games | 5.2 carries |
| All 25 logged games | 6.1 carries |
| Best in the log | 10 |
| Worst in the log | 1 |
| Home (13 games) | 5.3 carries |
| Away (12 games) | 6.9 carries |
Drake Maye's highest in this log is 10 carries against the Denver Broncos on 2026-01-25, and the lowest is 1 against the Green Bay Packers on 2026-11-08. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 5.5 carries |
|---|---|
| At home | 5 of 13 (38%) |
| On the road | 8 of 12 (67%) |
Drake Maye has cleared 5.5 carries 29 points more often on the road, 38% in 13 home games against 67% in 12 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Rush Attempts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Green Bay Packers | Home | 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | Miami Dolphins | Away | 8 |
| 2026-10-22 | Chicago Bears | Away | 4 |
| 2026-10-18 | New York Jets | Home | 4 |
| 2026-10-11 | Las Vegas Raiders | Home | 7 |
| 2026-10-04 | Buffalo Bills | Away | 8 |
| 2026-09-27 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Away | 4 |
| 2026-09-20 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Home | 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Seattle Seahawks | Away | 7 |
| 2026-02-08 | Seattle Seahawks | Home | 5 |
Every rush attempts prop the books have posted for Drake Maye of the New England Patriots, with the NFL game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
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The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
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All Drake Maye props and hit rates · Every NFL rush attempts prop
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
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